NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	137		Excitement	9.6 [84]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +66.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	134		Comeback	3.9 [392]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (DEN): -12.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.67	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.67	0.11	0.58	0.02	16	76%	0.97	6	-0.30	5	80%	0.04
Julian Strawther	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.20	0.13	0.00	7	112%	0.33	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Porter Jr.	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.19	0.12	-0.00	14	80%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.14	0.06	-0.00	22	61%	0.23	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Peyton Watson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	0.00	4	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.01	6	79%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Christian Braun	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	75%	0.14	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.29,0.39,0.3,0.55	0.55	0.18	0.39	0.01	26	70%	0.66	5	-0.11	8	75%	0.07
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.13	0.01	16	69%	0.38	3	-0.14	7	100%	0.04
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.18	0.18	0.22	-0.02	0.02	17	82%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	4	137%	0.22	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	10	48%	0.12	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.4	27.3	14.8	29.2	2.8	32.4	138.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +57.3%

DEN +9.6%

DEN +3.9%

PHI -20.9%

DEN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHI	NBA	DEN	PHI	NBA
this game	13.5	15.4	14.4	138.4	134.0	112.8
season	14.0	15.1		119.0	110.5
opponent	14.2	14.5		115.8	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.6	14.5	11.0	16.4	13.5
PHI	13.1	17.5	17.8	13.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Murray	82	84	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-10	23	14.0	11.5	2.42	14.7	19.2	-4.51
Aaron Gordon	66	68	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-11	25	14.1	12.3	1.80	14.9	16.4	-1.53
Michael Porter Jr.	61	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	2	-1	13.1	14.2	-1.05	15.3	15.5	-0.16
Nikola Jokic	78	79	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	3	-3	12.7	16.6	-3.85	15.5	15.0	0.57
Christian Braun	62	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.45	-8	11	-19	14.0	12.7	1.29	15.8	14.8	0.98
Julian Strawther	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	1	1	14.2	13.1	1.05	15.5	15.3	0.16
Russell Westbrook	54	53	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	12.4	15.0	-2.60	16.1	14.6	1.52
Peyton Watson	54	53	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	11	-19	14.0	13.0	0.98	15.8	14.9	0.96

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	32	32	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	16.8	14.7	2.03	14.0	13.3	0.64
Kyle Lowry	40	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-3	3	16.1	14.9	1.21	14.1	13.2	0.94
Ricky Council IV	29	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-2	1	18.2	14.2	4.00	14.1	13.3	0.85
Adem Bona	25	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	2	-7	14.9	15.6	-0.64	15.5	12.9	2.59
Guerschon Yabusele	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-4	5	15.8	14.3	1.42	13.0	15.1	-2.12
Justin Edwards	72	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	0	-3	14.4	18.0	-3.61	13.1	14.6	-1.49
Eric Gordon	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	14.7	16.5	-1.87	13.0	14.3	-1.27
Tyrese Maxey	82	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	15.3	15.7	-0.33	13.0	16.1	-3.05
Kelly Oubre Jr.	85	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	2	-7	14.8	18.7	-3.84	14.0	10.5	3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.54,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 95, OKC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.54,0.68,0.58,0	91.3%
IND 94, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.37,0	90.7%
POR 80, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.47,0.37,0.55,0.58,0	90.7%