NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	80		Excitement	9.0 [114]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +31.2%
Houston Rockets	79		Comeback	2.9 [464]		LVP	Jason Collier (HOU): -38.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.31	0.03	0.28	-0.01	22	55%	0.33	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.09
Dale Davis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.12	0.00	7	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.01	0.11	-0.02	6	56%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Erick Barkley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.01	13	54%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	6	8%	-0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	7	12%	-0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.04	-0.21	0.00	10	55%	0.01	4	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	12	38%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.07
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.19	-0.19	-0.00	-0.20	-0.01	22	49%	-0.16	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.38	-0.38	-0.10	-0.28	0.00	6	17%	-0.31	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	30.1	16.5	24.6	2.5	27.5	127.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +53.4%

POR +14.8%

HOU -32.4%

POR +5.4%

POR +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	17.3	15.6	90.9	89.8	102.3
season	16.0	16.8		105.0	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		106.4	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.6	14.5	15.0	16.8	15.4
HOU	17.1	19.0	15.0	18.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	68	69	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.54	3	-2	5	15.5	15.3	0.16	17.4	16.8	0.66
Dale Davis	55	54	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.54	2	-1	3	15.2	15.7	-0.49	16.8	18.1	-1.27
Damon Stoudamire	55	55	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	-1	3	15.4	15.5	-0.05	17.4	17.1	0.30
Scottie Pippen	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	0	1	14.7	17.9	-3.20	16.8	18.9	-2.04
Bonzi Wells	59	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.38	0	1	-1	14.4	17.4	-2.97	18.2	15.4	2.75
Steve Kerr	18	17	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	-5	11	14.7	15.6	-0.88	20.3	16.6	3.70
Mitchell Butler	2	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	1	-1	4.5	15.7	-11.17	16.0	17.3	-1.32
Ruben Patterson	37	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	1	-1	16.7	14.5	2.21	16.7	17.7	-0.99
Erick Barkley	6	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	3	-5	18.8	15.2	3.66	20.4	17.0	3.39
Derek Anderson	30	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	3	-5	16.9	14.7	2.24	15.5	18.3	-2.76
Shawn Kemp	43	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	6	-11	16.3	14.5	1.82	17.2	17.4	-0.19

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-5	9	16.8	17.6	-0.82	17.7	14.4	3.31
Kenny Thomas	45	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-2	3	15.8	18.9	-3.04	14.5	16.3	-1.82
Terence Morris	9	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-1	1	19.9	17.0	2.88	15.0	15.5	-0.47
Oscar Torres	26	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	0	-1	19.6	16.3	3.28	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Kelvin Cato	44	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	0	-1	16.6	18.0	-1.39	15.3	15.5	-0.18
Jason Collier	30	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-4	7	18.3	16.8	1.56	16.5	14.9	1.58
Steve Francis	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	1	-3	17.9	16.3	1.62	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Moochie Norris	54	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	1	-3	17.4	17.2	0.12	15.7	14.9	0.78
Cuttino Mobley	74	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	2	-5	17.0	19.1	-2.10	14.9	18.4	-3.48
Eddie Griffin	48	48	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	4	-9	18.2	16.2	1.98	15.8	15.0	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.47,0.37,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.57,0.73,0	92.6%
BOS 95, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.42,0	92.0%
IND 94, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.37,0	91.9%