NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	95		Excitement	8.9 [137]		MVP	Glen Davis (BOS): +72.2%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	1.8 [395]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -34.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.72	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.72	0.02	0.70	-0.00	14	58%	0.87	3	-0.15	8	37%	-0.08
Kendrick Perkins	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.08	0.01	15	69%	0.10	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Ray Allen	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	13	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.03	15	55%	0.10	3	-0.12	8	62%	-0.04
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.18	0.01	14	61%	0.32	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.04
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.21	0.02	14	67%	0.35	2	-0.08	5	80%	0.12
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	52%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	8	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.35	-0.35	-0.10	-0.26	-0.01	14	37%	-0.28	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.5	36.4	20.5	30.3	3.7	39.7	162.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +135.6%

ORL -43.4%

ORL -25.5%

ORL -20.4%

BOS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.3	15.5	106.7	105.6	106.4
season	15.8	15.3		108.3	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.4	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	16.4	15.7	17.9	16.1
ORL	15.3	16.3	16.3	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	34	34	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.60	7	-6	13	14.1	17.4	-3.30	16.3	16.2	0.06
Ray Allen	86	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	-2	5	16.2	14.7	1.48	16.2	17.5	-1.27
Rajon Rondo	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.52	-3	4	-7	16.4	13.9	2.50	15.9	18.8	-2.92
Glen Davis	62	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.55	-6	7	-13	16.1	16.0	0.15	16.3	16.1	0.21
Paul Pierce	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.47	-6	7	-13	17.2	14.0	3.22	16.0	16.7	-0.74
Kendrick Perkins	76	74	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	-4	9	16.2	15.8	0.39	15.7	18.8	-3.06
Stephon Marbury	12	12	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	-3	7	12.7	16.6	-3.87	18.6	15.9	2.69
Mikki Moore	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	0	1	17.7	15.8	1.91	14.5	16.5	-2.03
Brian Scalabrine	27	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.23	0	1	-1	15.7	16.3	-0.57	18.8	15.1	3.74

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	18	18	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-8	15	17.9	15.8	2.04	14.8	16.4	-1.59
Tony Battie	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	2	-5	12.1	16.7	-4.61	14.4	16.3	-1.84
Adonal Foyle	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	3	-7	8.0	16.4	-8.45	16.5	16.1	0.41
Anthony Johnson	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	0	-1	16.4	16.2	0.25	16.9	15.9	0.99
Courtney Lee	41	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.45	8	-9	17	17.1	15.5	1.60	15.9	16.3	-0.38
Rafer Alston	52	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	4	-9	15.5	17.4	-1.87	15.4	17.1	-1.77
JJ Redick	46	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	3	-7	15.0	17.7	-2.69	16.1	16.1	0.07
Rashard Lewis	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.55	8	-9	17	16.4	15.7	0.73	16.8	13.6	3.14
Mickael Pietrus	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	4	-9	16.7	15.6	1.10	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Hedo Turkoglu	68	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	1	-3	17.2	13.2	3.95	16.5	15.0	1.54
Dwight Howard	69	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.52	-4	3	-7	16.1	16.9	-0.83	16.4	15.0	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 80, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.47,0.37,0.55,0.58,0	92.0%
MIN 105, OKC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.1,0.58,0	91.9%
SAS 92, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.08,0.13,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.28,0	91.6%