NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	6.4 [568]		MVP	Ricky Council IV (PHI): +20.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	117		Comeback	6.7 [75]		LVP	Keon Ellis (SAC): -12.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keegan Murray	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	15	53%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	81%	0.12	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Huerter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	17	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Monk	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	18	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Devin Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.02	15	56%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Keon Ellis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	10	30%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.00	6	72%	0.20	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.03	0.04	5	93%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.07	0.03	12	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	24	57%	0.14	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Pete Nance	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	26.2	14.7	26.4	2.3	30.5	128.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.3%

PHI +11.4%

SAC -17.4%

PHI +4.2%

PHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	14.5	16.0	14.4	109.5	124.5	113.0
season	14.3	15.0		115.1	110.4
opponent	14.2	14.6		116.8	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	15.4	13.0	16.4	14.5
PHI	16.0	14.6	16.3	17.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Carter	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-10	7	16.8	14.4	2.47	13.7	16.1	-2.46
Domantas Sabonis	78	78	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-15	17	14.5	14.5	0.06	16.4	13.9	2.45
Malik Monk	78	78	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-15	17	14.5	14.5	0.06	16.4	13.9	2.45
Alex Len	10	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-5	-3	14.5	14.5	-0.02	14.4	16.1	-1.68
Kevin Huerter	19	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-3	-7	13.6	14.7	-1.17	15.3	16.2	-0.82
Keon Ellis	34	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-7	1	15.6	13.9	1.67	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Keegan Murray	70	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-5	-3	14.1	15.6	-1.53	16.4	14.6	1.86
Trey Lyles	31	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-3	-7	15.1	14.2	0.91	14.6	16.6	-1.97
De'Aaron Fox	71	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	14.4	15.0	-0.59	16.4	14.9	1.57
DeMar DeRozan	78	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.08	-15	2	-17	14.3	15.4	-1.02	15.8	16.5	-0.65

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Council IV	56	57	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.10	28	-15	43	15.3	16.9	-1.60	15.9	12.4	3.49
Kyle Lowry	49	50	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.11	27	-14	41	15.5	16.4	-0.91	15.6	13.4	2.20
Reggie Jackson	32	33	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-5	23	15.1	16.4	-1.33	15.7	13.9	1.76
Adem Bona	36	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	9	-5	15.3	16.4	-1.07	15.7	13.8	1.90
Guerschon Yabusele	56	55	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	8	-3	16.3	15.4	0.92	13.9	15.3	-1.44
Pete Nance	2	2	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	9	-5	17.5	15.9	1.57	9.5	14.6	-5.12
Tyrese Maxey	75	74	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	13	-13	16.1	15.5	0.62	14.0	16.4	-2.46
Kelly Oubre Jr.	71	71	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	15	-17	16.5	14.2	2.38	14.3	15.2	-0.93
Eric Gordon	45	46	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.04	-9	22	-31	16.6	15.3	1.30	13.4	15.6	-2.22
Justin Edwards	48	49	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.04	-10	23	-33	16.1	15.9	0.19	13.3	15.8	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.0%
OKC 84, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.8,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	91.9%
SAC 94, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,1,1	91.8%