NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	84		Excitement	5.9 [664]		MVP	Eddie House (BOS): +14.4%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	3.1 [749]		LVP	Nick Collison (OKC): -10.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.05	-0.04	15	55%	0.17	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Nenad Krstic	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Weaver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	18	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	87%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	18	37%	-0.00	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Malik Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	7	22%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.07	-0.04	15	50%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	18	56%	0.23	3	-0.09	12	83%	0.06
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	14	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	28.3	14.7	29.0	2.4	27.6	129.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +60.2%

OKC -9.3%

BOS +2.6%

OKC -4.6%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	BOS	NBA	OKC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	15.5	92.3	113.2	106.4
season	14.9	15.8		100.5	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		101.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	14.5	15.3	17.9	15.4
BOS	17.9	12.7	19.0	16.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	43	43	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-20	21	14.4	16.2	-1.77	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Kyle Weaver	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-20	21	14.6	15.9	-1.35	17.5	15.5	1.97
Thabo Sefolosha	59	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-6	-7	14.7	16.7	-1.98	16.0	16.8	-0.86
Malik Rose	32	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-13	7	16.7	14.7	1.98	16.8	16.0	0.86
Russell Westbrook	72	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-5	-9	15.2	15.9	-0.73	16.5	15.2	1.31
Chucky Atkins	22	21	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-10	1	15.8	15.2	0.59	14.7	16.7	-2.03
Jeff Green	78	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-4	-11	15.6	13.8	1.87	16.6	14.2	2.47
Kevin Durant	65	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	1	-21	15.5	15.0	0.52	15.4	18.5	-3.10
Nick Collison	48	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.04	-20	1	-21	16.2	14.4	1.77	16.6	15.9	0.70

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	41	40	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.08	22	-3	25	15.5	16.9	-1.43	17.5	13.7	3.79
Mikki Moore	50	52	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	3	13	15.9	16.8	-0.88	15.8	14.8	1.01
Paul Pierce	70	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	1	17	16.7	14.9	1.84	15.8	13.8	1.95
Stephon Marbury	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	7	5	17.2	15.6	1.61	15.9	15.0	0.85
Kendrick Perkins	64	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	4	11	15.8	17.3	-1.45	15.2	15.8	-0.57
Henry Walker	25	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	11	-3	13.2	17.4	-4.18	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Rajon Rondo	56	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	16	-13	16.5	15.9	0.63	14.8	16.3	-1.57
Glen Davis	61	59	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	14	-9	17.4	13.9	3.49	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Gabe Pruitt	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	15.0	16.3	-1.33	10.2	15.6	-5.36
Ray Allen	46	47	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	26	-33	16.5	16.0	0.50	14.3	16.5	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.8,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
GSW 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.4%
DAL 102, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%