NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	96		Excitement	5.7 [660]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +15.4%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	2.1 [733]		LVP	Speedy Claxton (GSW): -11.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	6	85%	0.06	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Adonal Foyle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.04	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Mike Dunleavy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	10	38%	-0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	15	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.08	0.03	24	63%	0.20	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	92%	0.16	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	9	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	12	48%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	29.1	16.4	26.6	2.5	31.6	132.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +59.2%

GSW -21.2%

IND +10.8%

IND +5.9%

GSW -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.7	107.9	118.9	100.5
season	16.1	16.7		100.8	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		94.7	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.4	17.8	15.8	15.7	16.7
IND	13.9	14.3	15.5	18.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	60	60	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-19	27	16.5	17.1	-0.57	16.3	13.9	2.40
Erick Dampier	64	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-9	7	17.5	14.7	2.79	14.7	17.5	-2.83
Jason Richardson	58	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-9	7	16.2	17.6	-1.47	16.5	13.6	2.91
Brian Cardinal	46	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-7	3	16.5	16.9	-0.47	14.5	16.7	-2.22
Clifford Robinson	77	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	16.8	16.1	0.70	15.6	14.5	1.19
Mike Dunleavy	28	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	0	-11	17.6	16.3	1.29	13.7	16.3	-2.62
Adonal Foyle	19	19	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-4	-3	15.9	16.9	-0.94	18.8	14.6	4.24
Calbert Cheaney	38	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	1	-13	16.9	16.5	0.37	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Nick Van Exel	55	55	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.10	-19	8	-27	16.2	17.4	-1.18	15.8	15.1	0.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	56	56	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.12	19	-8	27	15.6	15.4	0.14	16.1	17.7	-1.66
Anthony Johnson	46	46	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-4	19	16.4	14.5	1.91	15.5	17.9	-2.36
Scot Pollard	25	23	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	1	9	17.2	14.9	2.30	17.3	16.5	0.83
Jonathan Bender	30	32	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	0	11	17.3	14.6	2.75	16.0	17.1	-1.07
Austin Croshere	21	23	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	3	5	19.2	14.4	4.81	15.6	17.1	-1.51
Jermaine O'Neal	71	71	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	14.6	18.9	-4.37	16.7	16.6	0.09
Al Harrington	63	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	14	-17	14.7	17.5	-2.83	16.9	16.3	0.53
Reggie Miller	50	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	15	-19	15.5	15.5	0.05	17.2	16.1	1.03
Jamaal Tinsley	44	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	15	-19	14.5	16.4	-1.91	17.9	15.5	2.36
Jeff Foster	44	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	15	-19	14.2	16.8	-2.62	17.5	16.0	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 117, BOS 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.2%
SAC 90, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	93.7%