NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	6.7 [272]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +7.9%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	2.2 [161]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -16.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Peja Stojakovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	18	48%	-0.03	5	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	12	31%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	16	49%	-0.06	5	-0.11	3	0%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.09	-0.03	21	38%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	25	55%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	17	49%	0.06	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	11	26%	-0.11	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	26.6	16.5	22.5	1.7	36.2	129.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +14.7%

DAL +1.8%

DAL +26.1%

DAL +11.0%

SAC -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	12.7	17.1	15.8	91.8	101.0	99.6
season	14.1	15.9		100.1	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.3	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	14.4	12.3	11.6	12.7
DAL	15.8	16.3	17.3	18.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	43	43	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-10	13	12.4	12.9	-0.50	17.5	16.7	0.73
Peja Stojakovic	28	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-12	17	14.2	12.0	2.21	16.8	17.2	-0.33
Jon Barry	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-5	3	13.3	12.2	1.15	16.8	17.3	-0.49
Corliss Williamson	60	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	0	-7	12.2	13.4	-1.22	16.6	17.7	-1.02
Vlade Divac	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	0	-7	12.9	12.1	0.74	17.5	15.7	1.80
Chris Webber	78	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	12.1	14.8	-2.73	17.4	16.0	1.36
Lawrence Funderburke	41	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	1	-9	13.8	11.9	1.95	16.2	17.6	-1.44
Jason Williams	71	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	11.8	14.9	-3.06	17.4	16.3	1.10
Vernon Maxwell	55	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	3	-13	12.9	12.4	0.50	16.7	17.5	-0.73

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Pack	69	71	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.21	21	-14	35	16.6	18.3	-1.72	12.9	12.1	0.73
Gary Trent	76	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-6	19	16.5	19.1	-2.57	12.9	11.8	1.10
Samaki Walker	28	31	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.03	19	-12	31	17.3	17.0	0.32	12.0	13.0	-0.99
Hot Rod Williams	41	42	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-7	21	18.4	16.1	2.32	12.1	13.1	-0.93
Michael Finley	87	88	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-1	9	16.7	20.9	-4.22	12.3	16.0	-3.70
Erick Strickland	25	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	5	-3	20.7	15.8	4.89	14.8	12.0	2.81
Hubert Davis	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	16	-25	15.8	17.5	-1.69	10.5	13.4	-2.88
Steve Nash	60	60	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.26	-13	20	-33	16.8	17.4	-0.57	13.1	12.0	1.10
Shawn Bradley	47	48	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	13	-19	16.1	17.9	-1.79	13.5	11.9	1.54
A.C. Green	23	22	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	21	-35	19.0	16.5	2.49	12.0	12.9	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 75, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
NJN 88, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.7%