NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	5.8 [673]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NJN): +13.6%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	1.8 [878]		LVP	Jarvis Hayes (NJN): -22.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	6	106%	0.23	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Josh Boone	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Maurice Ager	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05
Brook Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	12	56%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	18	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	13	49%	0.02	4	-0.14	15	67%	-0.04
Jarvis Hayes	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.07	0.00	8	12%	-0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.00	0.07	12	79%	0.14	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.03	0.05	17	71%	0.20	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	15	61%	0.18	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	0	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	1.8	30.2	15.8	30.1	2.4	31.7	142.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.3%

ATL +2.6%

NJN -12.7%

ATL +10.1%

ATL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.5	97.8	116.7	106.4
season	16.0	15.8		106.5	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.5		106.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.4	16.0	15.4	16.0	16.4
ATL	15.2	13.4	16.6	17.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	41	41	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-18	19	16.4	16.4	0.01	16.1	15.1	0.98
Maurice Ager	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	18.0	16.4	1.64	21.2	15.3	5.92
Chris Douglas-Roberts	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	22.0	16.3	5.72	13.5	15.6	-2.14
Brook Lopez	44	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-15	13	16.5	16.3	0.26	17.1	13.9	3.22
Eduardo Najera	21	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-12	7	18.1	15.9	2.26	14.7	15.9	-1.14
Ryan Anderson	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-7	-3	16.0	17.1	-1.12	16.4	14.3	2.08
Keyon Dooling	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-6	-5	16.0	16.8	-0.82	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Vince Carter	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-8	-1	16.7	15.4	1.34	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Josh Boone	46	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-2	-13	16.3	16.5	-0.26	13.9	17.1	-3.22
Devin Harris	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	1	-19	16.0	17.8	-1.81	15.8	14.6	1.21
Jarvis Hayes	54	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.15	-14	-3	-11	16.3	16.6	-0.24	14.4	17.3	-2.86

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	82	81	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.07	21	-4	25	15.9	12.7	3.12	16.4	16.1	0.33
Ronald Murray	58	58	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.13	22	-5	27	15.3	16.1	-0.83	16.7	15.9	0.78
Mike Bibby	69	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	4	9	15.7	15.3	0.33	15.8	18.4	-2.64
Marvin Williams	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	3	11	16.7	12.6	4.14	16.5	16.2	0.35
Zaza Pachulia	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	6	5	15.2	16.1	-0.80	15.7	17.4	-1.79
Josh Smith	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	15	-13	14.8	16.5	-1.62	17.5	15.2	2.24
Solomon Jones	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	12	-7	17.1	14.8	2.34	15.9	16.7	-0.73
Othello Hunter	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	13.5	15.6	-2.14	22.0	16.3	5.72
Maurice Evans	15	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	17	-17	14.3	15.9	-1.59	17.6	16.1	1.50
Acie Law	24	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	17	-17	14.0	16.2	-2.11	15.5	16.7	-1.19
Mario West	3	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	20	-23	9.3	15.8	-6.47	22.0	16.3	5.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NOK 94, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NOH 76, TOR 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	94.3%