NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	94		Excitement	5.0 [834]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +13.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	1.8 [905]		LVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): -9.8%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.00	-0.03	18	57%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	53%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	11	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.02	19	61%	0.24	4	-0.10	11	82%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	7	77%	0.12	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.07
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	14	61%	0.11	4	-0.07	10	90%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	5	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	30.6	16.8	26.2	2.4	36.6	140.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.6%

LAL +12.7%

NOK -7.6%

LAL +11.3%

NOK -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	LAL	NBA	NOK	LAL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.6	98.9	110.5	104.4
season	16.3	15.6		101.2	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		104.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.6	14.6	16.6	17.0	15.9
LAL	13.2	15.4	14.7	14.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	24	23	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-17	23	12.2	17.2	-4.99	14.4	14.4	0.02
Kirk Snyder	41	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	15.1	16.5	-1.39	15.7	13.4	2.31
Linton Johnson	36	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-9	7	16.0	15.9	0.15	13.7	14.8	-1.11
Rasual Butler	73	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-2	-7	15.4	17.8	-2.45	14.8	13.0	1.88
P.J. Brown	57	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-11	11	15.9	15.9	0.03	15.7	12.2	3.52
Aaron Williams	30	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	2	-15	17.6	15.2	2.48	13.1	15.0	-1.95
Chris Paul	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	15.7	16.9	-1.17	13.7	17.1	-3.41
David West	77	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	1	-13	16.7	12.5	4.24	13.9	16.1	-2.24
Speedy Claxton	60	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	3	-17	17.0	14.1	2.89	14.2	14.7	-0.58

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	64	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.06	19	-8	27	14.3	14.5	-0.25	16.7	14.4	2.25
Kwame Brown	74	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.00	21	-10	31	14.3	14.8	-0.55	16.7	13.1	3.59
Lamar Odom	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	0	11	14.4	14.1	0.37	15.9	15.9	0.08
Kobe Bryant	81	82	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	1	9	14.2	15.6	-1.48	16.0	15.8	0.11
Brian Cook	51	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-3	17	14.3	14.4	-0.10	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Devean George	36	35	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	13	-15	15.1	13.9	1.18	15.5	16.2	-0.67
Luke Walton	44	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	14	-17	14.4	14.3	0.10	16.1	15.8	0.29
Sasha Vujacic	24	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	16	-21	14.0	14.5	-0.45	14.5	16.4	-1.92
Ronny Turiaf	21	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.17	-10	21	-31	14.8	14.3	0.55	13.1	16.7	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 82, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
BOS 79, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%