NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	97		Excitement	5.0 [828]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (NYK): +20.5%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	1.8 [1113]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -10.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	0.01	0.07	14	83%	0.18	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	17	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.04	0.03	11	91%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	7	100%	0.24	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.00	7	79%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	17	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.07	-0.05	0.07	13	58%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	0.09	7	57%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	27.5	16.5	23.4	2.6	32.3	126.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.5%

ORL -7.3%

NYK +14.2%

NYK +0.5%

NYK +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	17.3	16.8	15.4	115.5	132.9	104.1
season	15.5	16.2		100.3	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.8	17.1	18.0	18.3	17.3
NYK	16.9	17.1	14.8	18.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	8	9	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-21	26	15.6	17.4	-1.81	16.9	16.8	0.07
Ish Smith	16	18	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-16	16	15.9	17.6	-1.71	20.4	15.9	4.59
Kyle O'Quinn	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-14	12	18.7	17.0	1.74	15.7	17.1	-1.40
Andrew Nicholson	12	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-9	2	18.9	17.0	1.93	15.0	17.2	-2.18
Gustavo Ayon	20	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-12	8	17.0	17.3	-0.28	18.0	16.4	1.53
DeQuan Jones	31	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	-6	-4	16.8	17.5	-0.72	17.2	16.6	0.63
Nikola Vucevic	53	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-9	2	17.2	17.4	-0.20	16.9	16.8	0.10
Hedo Turkoglu	30	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-7	-2	16.5	17.7	-1.13	16.6	16.9	-0.31
Maurice Harkless	66	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-7	-2	17.4	16.8	0.55	16.1	19.0	-2.91
E'Twaun Moore	43	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-4	-8	16.9	17.7	-0.82	19.4	13.9	5.57
JJ Redick	64	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	-7	-2	17.8	15.4	2.38	16.0	19.2	-3.24
Jameer Nelson	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	0	-16	17.5	16.7	0.79	15.6	20.2	-4.59

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	59	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-5	26	17.8	14.6	3.24	17.3	17.1	0.27
Carmelo Anthony	67	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-4	24	17.0	16.2	0.76	17.7	15.4	2.25
Tyson Chandler	57	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.07	14	2	12	16.0	18.5	-2.50	17.3	17.1	0.21
Steve Novak	40	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	3	10	18.0	15.8	2.17	17.4	17.1	0.32
Raymond Felton	55	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	3	10	15.9	18.4	-2.49	17.3	17.2	0.10
Amar'e Stoudemire	34	33	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	13	-10	18.7	15.6	3.14	18.2	16.7	1.47
Pablo Prigioni	27	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	14	-12	19.8	15.4	4.33	16.9	17.4	-0.48
James White	21	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	17	-18	13.7	17.9	-4.19	16.9	17.4	-0.48
Iman Shumpert	41	41	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	17	-18	15.7	17.8	-2.11	16.3	18.2	-1.89
Ronnie Brewer	9	7	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	18	-20	12.2	17.4	-5.15	16.6	17.3	-0.75
Chris Copeland	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	18	-20	16.1	17.0	-0.92	16.1	17.5	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 94, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 87, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.2%
SAC 82, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%