NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	79		Excitement	5.6 [657]		MVP	Jud Buechler (CHI): +3.2%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	1.6 [1048]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (BOS): -12.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Mercer	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	19	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	5	64%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Dana Barros	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	5	17%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	17	45%	-0.00	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	8	33%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	13	32%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	19	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	45%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	17%	-0.06
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	13	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	12	75%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	27.1	16.4	30.3	1.5	26.4	126.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +8.8%

CHI +6.7%

CHI +33.0%

CHI +1.6%

BOS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	17.1	15.6	91.9	105.9	102.5
season	15.1	16.2		100.2	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.1		97.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.9	17.2	15.5	17.9	16.6
CHI	14.7	18.8	16.5	19.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	35	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	15.7	17.2	-1.52	15.0	18.5	-3.43
John Thomas	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-13	15	17.0	16.3	0.70	19.3	16.2	3.19
Chauncey Billups	61	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-7	3	16.3	17.2	-0.96	19.0	12.9	6.06
Dana Barros	25	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	17.2	16.3	0.96	12.9	19.0	-6.06
Andrew DeClercq	20	21	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	6	-23	21.5	15.1	6.44	18.1	16.8	1.35
Antoine Walker	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.09	-13	2	-15	16.5	17.0	-0.51	15.6	27.5	-11.86
Walter McCarty	64	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	1	-13	17.8	13.0	4.72	17.5	16.0	1.46
Ron Mercer	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	2	-15	15.9	20.1	-4.15	17.7	13.0	4.74

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.14	17	-6	23	17.6	14.6	3.06	17.4	12.4	4.93
Michael Jordan	70	70	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.00	19	-8	27	18.0	13.0	5.01	17.1	14.1	2.99
Dennis Rodman	66	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	4	3	15.9	21.4	-5.46	16.6	16.4	0.14
Jason Caffey	32	31	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	4	3	16.8	17.3	-0.46	18.0	15.8	2.20
Ron Harper	63	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	8	-5	16.9	17.9	-0.99	17.0	15.1	1.93
Scott Burrell	21	20	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	5	1	14.4	18.0	-3.59	15.7	16.8	-1.05
Steve Kerr	40	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	7	-3	16.5	17.6	-1.09	15.1	17.8	-2.66
Jud Buechler	24	26	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	5	1	16.5	17.4	-0.94	17.1	16.3	0.74
Randy Brown	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	13	-15	4.0	17.3	-13.29	2.0	16.7	-14.73
Luc Longley	37	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	23	-35	20.3	14.7	5.61	13.9	18.5	-4.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 82, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
HOU 70, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NOK 94, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%