NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	76		Excitement	5.5 [708]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +10.4%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	1.9 [785]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -20.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	59%	-0.01	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	13	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	12	25%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.07	0.01	14	30%	-0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	10	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	15	47%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	24	51%	-0.01	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	13	47%	-0.01	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	0.8	27.5	17.4	23.0	0.2	34.3	126.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +31.1%

NOH -7.7%

TOR +6.8%

TOR +16.5%

TOR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	TOR	NBA	NOH	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	17.4	15.7	89.4	97.7	100.5
season	16.0	16.8		99.3	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.7		98.4	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.4	18.3	18.3	15.7	16.3
TOR	14.3	18.6	15.1	23.0	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	18	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-15	22	17.7	15.9	1.73	20.5	16.5	3.98
George Lynch	23	23	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-7	6	16.3	16.3	-0.00	17.1	17.5	-0.33
Steven Smith	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-15	22	15.7	16.5	-0.74	23.0	15.8	7.22
Stacey Augmon	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-15	22	15.7	16.5	-0.74	23.0	15.8	7.22
Darrell Armstrong	52	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.8	17.2	-1.38	17.9	16.4	1.54
Baron Davis	44	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	1	-10	17.9	14.6	3.28	16.1	18.6	-2.45
Jamal Mashburn	57	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.05	-15	7	-22	16.2	16.5	-0.34	15.5	21.1	-5.58
P.J. Brown	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	16.7	15.2	1.52	16.4	20.1	-3.77
David Wesley	56	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.04	-17	9	-26	15.7	17.4	-1.63	15.9	20.3	-4.43
Jamaal Magloire	76	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	3	-14	15.9	19.9	-4.01	17.5	16.2	1.28

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	79	77	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.11	21	-13	34	16.8	23.3	-6.44	16.2	17.0	-0.77
Morris Peterson	54	54	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.17	17	-9	26	17.5	17.2	0.24	17.9	13.5	4.49
Vince Carter	77	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-4	16	17.1	20.1	-3.06	15.9	20.0	-4.08
Chris Bosh	76	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	1	6	16.5	24.1	-7.61	16.4	15.8	0.56
Rod Strickland	43	43	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-4	16	17.4	17.3	0.05	15.5	17.1	-1.65
Milt Palacio	43	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	17.3	17.4	-0.05	17.1	15.5	1.65
Michael Curry	23	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	11	-14	17.2	17.4	-0.21	14.2	17.0	-2.80
Dion Glover	18	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	16	-24	18.7	17.0	1.64	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Jerome Moiso	17	19	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	22	-36	23.8	15.8	7.97	16.3	16.3	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 88, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 93, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIA 112, TOR 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.96,1	93.8%