NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	112		Excitement	6.5 [552]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +29.9%
New York Knicks	122		Comeback	3.2 [490]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (DEN): -8.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.00	7	94%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	25	60%	0.13	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Christian Braun	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Julian Strawther	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	15	53%	0.11	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Peyton Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.10	0.01	16	77%	0.36	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.01	9	67%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.00	0.01	15	72%	0.19	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.03	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	12	52%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	16	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.6	29.3	14.7	31.0	2.8	27.0	137.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.3%

DEN -3.9%

DEN -4.6%

NYK +22.6%

DEN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NYK	NBA	DEN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	14.4	112.0	124.5	113.0
season	14.2	15.3		117.1	116.0
opponent	14.2	14.5		112.9	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.2	14.4	13.5	14.9	14.5
NYK	13.6	14.4	14.8	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-10	10	17.4	13.9	3.51	13.7	14.8	-1.02
Aaron Gordon	64	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-8	6	13.9	15.5	-1.58	15.1	13.7	1.48
Russell Westbrook	77	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-5	0	14.3	15.2	-0.94	15.2	12.8	2.38
Michael Porter Jr.	54	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	0	-10	14.0	15.0	-0.98	15.0	14.2	0.85
Jamal Murray	80	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-6	2	13.8	17.2	-3.39	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Julian Strawther	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-9	8	15.1	14.1	1.07	13.5	15.4	-1.83
Nikola Jokic	70	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-7	4	14.0	15.6	-1.63	15.4	13.0	2.39
Peyton Watson	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-3	-4	15.6	13.8	1.89	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Christian Braun	59	59	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.18	-18	8	-26	15.3	13.3	1.99	13.8	15.8	-2.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	81	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-5	20	14.6	14.4	0.23	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Jalen Brunson	74	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-6	22	14.9	13.8	1.02	13.8	16.5	-2.70
Miles McBride	43	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	1	8	14.2	14.9	-0.70	15.6	13.7	1.95
Precious Achiuwa	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	6	-2	13.8	15.7	-1.91	14.0	15.2	-1.19
Mikal Bridges	78	81	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	3	4	14.6	14.7	-0.19	14.0	16.7	-2.71
Josh Hart	69	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	-1	12	15.1	13.3	1.79	13.9	16.0	-2.18
Karl-Anthony Towns	57	59	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	15.3	13.7	1.58	15.3	13.4	1.86
Cameron Payne	24	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	16	-22	13.8	14.9	-1.02	16.5	13.8	2.70
Landry Shamet	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	15	-20	13.3	14.7	-1.40	19.0	14.1	4.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, CLE 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	93.6%
MIL 90, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
CHA 94, IND 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.2%