NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	6.1 [697]		MVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): +23.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Comeback	2.0 [701]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): -27.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	9	76%	0.15	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	9	75%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Jalen Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Griffin	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	11	77%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.02	22	50%	0.00	6	-0.19	6	67%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.27	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.17	-0.10	0.01	17	31%	-0.17	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.06	0.04	10	92%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	5	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	22	60%	0.15	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	14	76%	0.17	8	-0.20	6	100%	0.04
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.08	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	28.4	15.4	29.5	2.4	33.6	136.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +55.3%

CLE +8.4%

ATL -7.7%

ATL -7.3%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	14.4	104.1	115.2	113.4
season	13.8	15.1		115.1	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.0	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.6	12.3	15.6	15.3	14.6
CLE	13.8	15.4	13.8	15.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vit Krejci	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	10.0	14.7	-4.69	19.0	14.5	4.49
Frank Kaminsky	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	10.0	14.7	-4.69	19.0	14.5	4.49
Jalen Johnson	27	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-17	22	14.1	14.8	-0.73	14.7	14.6	0.13
Justin Holiday	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-10	8	14.8	14.5	0.30	14.2	14.8	-0.65
Clint Capela	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.21	-14	2	-16	14.2	15.3	-1.16	14.4	14.9	-0.54
Dejounte Murray	77	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-6	0	14.7	14.4	0.27	15.0	13.3	1.64
AJ Griffin	73	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-4	-4	14.4	15.2	-0.80	14.8	14.0	0.80
Onyeka Okongwu	40	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-11	10	15.4	14.1	1.36	14.7	14.5	0.17
Aaron Holiday	36	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-8	4	15.1	14.4	0.70	14.6	14.6	-0.07
Trae Young	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	7	-26	14.5	15.0	-0.41	14.1	16.0	-1.93
John Collins	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	5	-22	14.8	14.1	0.73	14.6	14.7	-0.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	81	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-2	16	14.5	15.1	-0.63	14.9	13.6	1.32
Isaac Okoro	30	31	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	4	4	13.9	14.9	-1.05	16.4	13.8	2.60
Cedi Osman	61	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	3	6	14.4	14.9	-0.57	13.4	16.6	-3.16
Jarrett Allen	69	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	1	10	14.5	14.8	-0.29	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Darius Garland	78	78	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	4	4	14.9	13.6	1.30	14.7	14.4	0.24
Robin Lopez	21	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	7	-2	14.3	14.7	-0.33	15.2	14.5	0.69
Evan Mobley	73	73	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	7	-2	14.9	13.8	1.12	14.1	16.2	-2.14
Lamar Stevens	57	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	11	-10	14.8	14.3	0.46	15.2	13.9	1.38
Kevin Love	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	13	-14	14.7	14.6	0.11	14.5	14.7	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.98,1,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.2%
BOS 83, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.98,1	93.2%
LAC 83, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%