NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	83		Excitement	5.0 [834]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +24.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	1.4 [801]		LVP	Caron Butler (LAC): -12.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	13	61%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.01	-0.05	8	45%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.06	13	61%	0.06	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.11	0.00	14	69%	0.28	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.02	7	53%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.03	0.03	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	17	63%	0.12	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	8	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	13	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.3	30.5	19.7	30.2	3.5	40.3	153.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.1%

MEM +4.4%

MEM +21.0%

MEM +0.2%

LAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	16.7	15.4	93.3	116.9	104.1
season	15.6	16.5		109.0	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	15.6	16.2	15.0	15.7
MEM	15.3	17.1	17.3	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	15	16	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-22	23	13.0	16.3	-3.26	15.7	16.8	-1.10
Willie Green	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	11.5	16.0	-4.51	17.0	16.6	0.38
Chauncey Billups	34	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-13	5	16.3	15.3	0.95	15.6	17.2	-1.61
Lamar Odom	38	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-14	7	16.3	15.3	1.06	17.2	16.3	0.90
DeAndre Jordan	32	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-10	-1	16.2	15.5	0.70	17.4	16.2	1.18
Eric Bledsoe	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-13	5	15.5	15.9	-0.42	17.8	15.7	2.04
Matt Barnes	47	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-16	11	14.6	17.0	-2.40	17.1	16.1	0.91
Caron Butler	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	-9	-3	16.9	15.2	1.68	16.7	16.6	0.04
Ronny Turiaf	23	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-17	13	17.3	15.2	2.15	18.0	16.2	1.70
Jamal Crawford	56	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-13	5	15.3	16.5	-1.19	16.2	17.4	-1.23
Blake Griffin	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	-1	-19	16.1	15.0	1.04	16.0	18.0	-2.05
Chris Paul	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.20	-21	0	-21	15.8	15.4	0.37	16.3	17.9	-1.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	79	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	1	19	16.7	16.4	0.28	15.5	17.4	-1.91
Zach Randolph	67	66	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.31	28	-7	35	16.4	17.5	-1.19	16.6	13.2	3.42
Quincy Pondexter	54	53	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	6	9	16.6	16.7	-0.10	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Tayshaun Prince	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	2	17	16.6	16.9	-0.33	15.6	16.2	-0.63
Mike Conley	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	3	15	16.5	17.5	-0.98	15.9	14.9	0.93
Tony Allen	50	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	10	1	16.8	16.5	0.34	16.2	15.0	1.19
Tony Wroten	8	9	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	17	-13	16.0	16.7	-0.72	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Darrell Arthur	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	20	-19	16.7	16.6	0.08	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Jon Leuer	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	13.0	16.7	-3.69	12.0	15.7	-3.75
Austin Daye	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	13.0	16.7	-3.69	12.0	15.7	-3.75
Ed Davis	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	27	-33	19.5	16.5	2.98	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Jerryd Bayless	18	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	30	-39	18.3	16.2	2.04	13.9	16.2	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 64, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 87, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.99,1	95.2%
IND 109, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%