NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	64		Excitement	5.0 [651]		MVP	John Lucas III (CHI): +13.3%
Chicago Bulls	77		Comeback	1.2 [1013]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -13.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	20	37%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	15	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Linas Kleiza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Forbes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	6	17%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	9	56%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	15	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	20	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	16	40%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	0%	-0.04
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	24.2	16.3	24.6	2.4	25.4	116.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +34.4%

CHI +10.6%

TOR -0.9%

CHI +6.3%

TOR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	18.3	17.9	15.6	80.0	97.5	102.8
season	16.5	16.0		98.9	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.2		97.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.7	14.6	21.2	19.1	18.3
CHI	16.4	20.7	14.8	19.8	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	31	32	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.20	11	-24	35	15.2	20.3	-5.11	19.1	17.1	2.06
Gary Forbes	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-12	11	16.5	19.3	-2.86	20.2	16.6	3.64
Rasual Butler	23	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-5	-3	22.2	16.8	5.40	16.2	18.5	-2.33
Amir Johnson	46	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-8	3	19.5	16.7	2.82	17.8	18.1	-0.28
Jamaal Magloire	34	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	16.7	19.5	-2.82	18.1	17.8	0.28
Ed Davis	31	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	2	-17	21.0	16.6	4.37	15.2	19.4	-4.16
Leandro Barbosa	57	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-8	3	16.8	22.2	-5.40	18.5	16.2	2.33
Linas Kleiza	28	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-4	-5	16.7	19.2	-2.42	20.5	16.3	4.19
DeMar DeRozan	64	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	18.9	15.9	2.98	16.7	22.1	-5.38
Jose Calderon	58	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	1	-15	19.6	15.0	4.52	17.3	19.5	-2.28

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-5	23	17.3	21.8	-4.55	18.9	14.9	3.96
Taj Gibson	37	35	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	7	-1	19.6	16.4	3.14	17.4	19.0	-1.59
Luol Deng	63	64	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	5	3	17.7	18.6	-0.91	18.4	17.9	0.56
Ronnie Brewer	46	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	3	7	16.6	19.8	-3.19	19.2	17.0	2.26
Omer Asik	25	23	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	11	-9	19.8	17.0	2.84	15.8	19.4	-3.57
Carlos Boozer	54	57	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	2	9	17.0	19.8	-2.84	19.4	15.8	3.57
John Lucas III	33	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	11	-9	19.8	16.6	3.19	17.0	19.2	-2.26
Kyle Korver	27	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	12	-11	19.9	16.8	3.08	16.7	19.2	-2.50
Joakim Noah	42	45	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	6	1	16.4	19.6	-3.14	19.0	17.4	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 83, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NYK 105, MIA 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
IND 95, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%