NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	5.9 [645]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +22.9%
San Antonio Spurs	122		Comeback	1.7 [956]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): -9.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	17	67%	0.18	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
T.J. Ford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	90%	0.15	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.06
Josh McRoberts	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	6	92%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	19	60%	0.10	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.00
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	13	61%	0.02	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.08

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.06	-0.00	12	79%	0.25	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.07	0.04	6	73%	0.15	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	8	64%	0.15	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.17	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	18	53%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	9	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.4	30.3	15.0	31.0	1.8	29.3	140.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.8%

SAS +11.0%

IND -0.6%

SAS +18.2%

SAS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	12.8	15.0	15.5	104.8	118.4	105.7
season	14.7	15.5		103.1	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.1	13.9	13.8	12.7	12.8
SAS	12.9	13.8	15.0	19.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-9	5	12.5	13.1	-0.55	14.9	15.1	-0.20
Roy Hibbert	73	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	12.9	12.6	0.29	14.6	16.1	-1.46
Paul George	47	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-12	11	12.3	13.3	-1.03	16.2	14.1	2.13
Darren Collison	71	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	0	-13	13.1	12.2	0.84	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Danny Granger	81	81	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-4	-5	13.1	11.8	1.33	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Solomon Jones	31	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	12.6	12.9	-0.29	16.1	14.6	1.46
Mike Dunleavy	76	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-5	-3	12.6	13.3	-0.64	14.6	16.2	-1.69
James Posey	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	13.1	12.5	0.55	15.1	14.9	0.20
T.J. Ford	37	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	-5	-3	12.7	12.9	-0.14	16.7	14.2	2.47

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	38	40	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.20	10	3	7	16.9	13.9	2.93	12.3	13.1	-0.80
George Hill	56	57	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	2	9	16.8	12.9	3.87	12.4	13.3	-0.92
Tony Parker	83	84	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	-2	17	14.5	17.1	-2.58	13.1	11.5	1.63
James Anderson	55	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	7	-1	15.3	14.7	0.50	13.4	12.2	1.21
Bobby Simmons	12	13	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	7	-1	16.7	14.8	1.96	12.5	12.9	-0.41
Tim Duncan	73	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	0	13	14.5	16.3	-1.81	13.2	11.9	1.36
Richard Jefferson	48	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	6	1	14.7	15.3	-0.50	12.2	13.4	-1.21
Manu Ginobili	74	73	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	6	1	14.3	16.9	-2.61	12.7	13.1	-0.44
Matt Bonner	27	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	12	-11	14.5	15.2	-0.68	13.2	12.7	0.49
Garrett Temple	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	23.0	14.9	8.06	9.0	12.9	-3.85
Gary Neal	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	23.0	14.9	8.06	9.0	12.9	-3.85
DeJuan Blair	47	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.07	-5	18	-23	13.8	16.1	-2.27	12.8	12.8	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 83, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIL 87, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.99,1	93.8%
SAC 99, MIA 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%