inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 99 Excitement5.6 [720] MVPJason Williams (MIA): +24.8%
Miami Heat 119 Comeback1.9 [826] LVPJames Posey (MIA): -5.7%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09-0.010.06-0.041947%0.112-0.022100%0.01
Francisco Garcia0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.08-0.000.011070%0.111-0.0400%0.00
Brian Skinner0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.04-0.01575%0.113-0.07250%-0.01
Jason Hart0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Kenny Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01844%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Mike Bibby0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.001650%0.022-0.022100%0.01
Jamal Sampson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Martin-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.010.02550%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.00944%-0.0200.00771%-0.00
Brad Miller-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.01947%-0.022-0.021100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.120.13-0.00873%0.271-0.0210100%0.08
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.080.08-0.031763%0.222-0.0310%-0.02
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.040.02871%0.1200.0010%-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.17-0.010.061571%0.131-0.03862%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.030.011259%0.1000.0030%-0.06
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00286%0.081-0.02367%-0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Simien0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.010.04658%-0.0200.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01930%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.72.733.216.623.01.832.2132.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +34.0%
MIA +13.6%
SAC -14.2%
MIA +17.5%
SAC -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACMIANBASACMIANBA
this game17.913.915.6110.0130.8104.4
season15.315.5104.7106.1
opponent15.515.5102.3103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC16.420.416.219.417.9
MIA13.115.714.412.813.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Hart20200.04-0.540.59-0.074-242821.217.04.2516.813.13.72
Jamal Sampson550.00-0.500.500.000-202018.417.90.4811.614.0-2.43
Ronnie Price550.00-0.500.500.000-202018.417.90.4811.614.0-2.43
Brad Miller4343-0.10-0.400.300.10-7-13619.316.72.6414.513.41.11
Kevin Martin4243-0.19-0.310.110.19-13-7-616.918.9-2.0414.313.60.72
Kenny Thomas6767-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-9-218.815.63.2014.911.03.94
Shareef Abdur-Rahim4142-0.21-0.290.08-0.15-2-181618.017.90.0613.913.9-0.08
Francisco Garcia5152-0.22-0.280.05-0.08-5-151018.617.11.4912.815.4-2.55
Brian Skinner4646-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.00-11-9-216.819.2-2.4213.514.3-0.77
Mike Bibby6767-0.630.13-0.750.14-266-3217.120.3-3.1113.614.6-0.98
Peja Stojakovic6365-0.660.16-0.830.19-299-3816.920.4-3.4713.115.9-2.83

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams64640.67-0.170.850.121911813.714.3-0.5118.017.90.08
Udonis Haslem61600.51-0.010.520.011731413.514.8-1.3416.720.5-3.78
Alonzo Mourning37350.390.110.280.21614-813.813.9-0.1116.319.0-2.62
Dwyane Wade67660.340.160.18-0.161731414.611.92.7517.519.2-1.67
James Posey67660.250.250.01-0.16146815.110.64.4518.616.22.31
Antoine Walker44440.230.27-0.03-0.03911-213.214.5-1.2618.617.31.35
Shaquille O'Neal49510.110.39-0.28-0.30146814.213.60.6119.016.62.39
Jason Kapono550.000.50-0.500.00020-2011.614.0-2.4318.417.90.48
Dorell Wright550.000.50-0.500.00020-2011.614.0-2.4318.417.90.48
Michael Doleac540.000.50-0.500.00020-2011.614.0-2.4318.717.90.84
Wayne Simien550.000.50-0.500.00020-2011.614.0-2.4318.417.90.48
Gary Payton4645-0.010.51-0.53-0.13416-1213.314.5-1.2118.517.41.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 82, SEA 960.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.4%
IND 109, SAS 1220.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.4%
NJN 76, DET 970.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,192.9%