NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	6.2 [597]		MVP	Matt Carroll (CHA): +7.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	92		Comeback	1.3 [807]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -17.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.01	5	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Allan Ray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	20	52%	0.08	3	-0.11	14	71%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	13	26%	-0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	10	35%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	6	73%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.04	17	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	54%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	29%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	11	39%	-0.08	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	20	36%	-0.08	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	29.2	14.8	24.6	2.0	36.2	137.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.2%

CHA +3.9%

BOS -0.5%

CHA +29.3%

CHA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.4	85.6	96.8	104.5
season	15.5	15.7		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	12.6	15.7	13.5	14.2
CHA	12.6	16.9	17.0	17.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	29	29	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.14	9	-18	27	12.9	14.7	-1.89	16.4	15.6	0.79
Tony Allen	36	35	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.17	10	-19	29	11.3	15.9	-4.62	15.6	15.9	-0.32
Gerald Green	32	30	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-14	19	12.2	15.1	-2.89	13.4	17.0	-3.55
Allan Ray	4	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	4.2	14.6	-10.36	1.0	16.2	-15.15
Leon Powe	4	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	4.2	14.6	-10.36	1.0	16.2	-15.15
Rajon Rondo	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-9	9	14.6	14.0	0.61	16.1	15.7	0.39
Al Jefferson	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-6	3	15.1	13.6	1.43	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	52	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-6	3	14.7	13.6	1.05	16.8	14.6	2.20
Sebastian Telfair	65	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	0	-9	14.0	14.6	-0.61	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Ryan Gomes	59	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.03	-20	11	-31	15.7	11.8	3.90	15.3	16.6	-1.29
Paul Pierce	74	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	7	-23	14.8	12.3	2.47	16.2	14.7	1.50
Wally Szczerbiak	60	60	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.15	-18	9	-27	15.7	11.7	4.06	17.1	13.6	3.49

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	95	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.8	0.0	15.83	14.2	0.0	14.19
Adam Morrison	84	87	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-1	11	15.3	20.1	-4.82	14.1	15.2	-1.13
Emeka Okafor	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-3	15	16.1	14.7	1.38	14.5	12.8	1.66
Gerald Wallace	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	4	1	16.1	14.7	1.37	13.8	15.7	-1.93
Sean May	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-4	17	17.0	14.9	2.09	15.7	13.0	2.63
Matt Carroll	30	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	17.8	14.9	2.93	13.4	14.6	-1.22
Othella Harrington	17	17	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	8	-7	17.1	15.6	1.57	15.1	14.0	1.13
Jake Voskuhl	19	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	11	-13	16.4	15.7	0.74	16.3	13.7	2.58
Melvin Ely	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	11	-13	12.3	16.5	-4.23	13.3	14.4	-1.05
Bernard Robinson	16	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	14	-19	10.8	16.8	-6.04	10.7	15.0	-4.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, BKN 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.96,1	94.2%
MEM 86, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.8%
OKC 90, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%