NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	90		Excitement	5.0 [829]		MVP	Julian Wright (NOH): +16.6%
New Orleans Hornets	108		Comeback	1.1 [1250]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (OKC): -10.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Weaver	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	7	76%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.06	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	17	53%	0.12	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.01	4	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Chucky Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	9	22%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	12	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.01	10	83%	0.20	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	7	79%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	14	65%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	16	64%	0.15	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	14	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	28.0	15.5	29.4	2.6	29.0	130.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +49.5%

OKC -4.9%

NOH +2.5%

NOH +7.3%

OKC -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOH	NBA	OKC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.4	15.2	15.5	95.7	114.9	106.4
season	14.9	16.6		100.5	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	15.8	14.7	17.2	15.4
NOH	14.6	18.5	14.7	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	67	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-15	12	15.7	14.8	0.87	15.7	14.1	1.58
Earl Watson	62	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-12	6	14.9	16.5	-1.57	15.7	14.2	1.53
Nick Collison	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-10	2	14.9	16.3	-1.42	14.9	15.7	-0.89
Chucky Atkins	57	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-9	0	15.5	15.4	0.05	15.9	14.2	1.75
Malik Rose	62	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-9	0	15.2	15.8	-0.62	15.4	14.8	0.69
Kyle Weaver	53	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	-3	-12	14.7	16.4	-1.65	14.2	16.7	-2.53
Nenad Krstic	46	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	-4	-10	16.9	14.1	2.81	16.4	14.1	2.38
Russell Westbrook	66	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.26	-26	8	-34	15.9	14.3	1.64	13.8	18.8	-5.02

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	66	65	0.72	-0.22	0.93	-0.13	29	-11	40	14.1	17.8	-3.73	16.7	12.7	3.97
Tyson Chandler	55	57	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.17	29	-11	40	13.7	17.4	-3.69	17.5	12.3	5.13
Chris Paul	72	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.19	28	-10	38	14.3	18.1	-3.77	15.6	15.0	0.63
David West	77	79	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	-4	26	15.1	15.8	-0.69	15.8	13.7	2.03
Rasual Butler	73	74	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	-1	20	14.4	18.1	-3.73	14.6	18.4	-3.83
James Posey	46	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.19	-5	23	-28	17.2	13.2	3.99	14.3	16.5	-2.16
Hilton Armstrong	17	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	18	-18	15.5	15.1	0.40	13.9	15.7	-1.87
Ryan Bowen	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	13.8	15.4	-1.57	14.1	15.6	-1.47
Antonio Daniels	22	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.17	-10	28	-38	18.1	14.3	3.77	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Devin Brown	10	10	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.15	-11	29	-40	21.6	14.4	7.16	17.2	15.2	1.97
Sean Marks	22	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.12	-11	29	-40	18.8	14.1	4.66	11.3	16.7	-5.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 91, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%
PHI 72, HOU 80	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.74,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
CHI 99, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	93.7%