NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	72		Excitement	5.3 [748]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +19.2%
Houston Rockets	80		Comeback	1.2 [971]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (PHI): -17.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	79%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Amal McCaskill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	28%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	11	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	19%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.04	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	-0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	15	29%	-0.14	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.07	-0.02	13	77%	0.26	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	15	58%	0.07	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.15	0.07	-0.05	9	38%	0.04	5	-0.07	3	0%	-0.03
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	16	44%	0.00	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	11	27%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	27.5	15.0	28.2	2.5	30.5	130.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.7%

HOU +1.6%

HOU +4.4%

HOU +4.5%

PHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	16.7	16.6	15.7	83.7	92.0	100.5
season	16.2	16.5		96.7	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.1	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.9	17.3	17.2	14.3	16.7
HOU	14.9	18.7	15.5	17.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-10	12	15.3	17.9	-2.60	18.0	15.4	2.62
Glenn Robinson	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-7	6	18.1	14.0	4.10	16.7	16.5	0.28
Kyle Korver	43	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-8	8	15.3	18.0	-2.60	17.5	15.7	1.75
Greg Buckner	64	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-9	10	17.1	15.4	1.73	17.0	15.7	1.23
Derrick Coleman	42	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	1	-10	18.3	15.1	3.24	15.0	18.3	-3.30
Kenny Thomas	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-8	8	16.2	18.9	-2.63	16.7	16.2	0.48
Amal McCaskill	10	11	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	3	-14	17.1	16.6	0.51	13.6	17.1	-3.44
John Salmons	27	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	3	-14	14.9	17.5	-2.62	17.0	16.5	0.46
Eric Snow	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	3	-14	16.7	15.9	0.85	16.2	19.5	-3.22

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	54	52	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-5	18	16.6	16.8	-0.18	15.6	18.2	-2.62
Cuttino Mobley	76	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	16.2	19.4	-3.11	17.0	14.1	2.94
Yao Ming	60	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-3	14	15.4	19.4	-3.95	17.0	15.8	1.21
Jim Jackson	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	5	-2	16.5	17.1	-0.52	16.6	16.7	-0.07
Mike Wilks	14	15	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	3	2	18.3	16.3	1.96	17.6	16.5	1.15
Steve Francis	73	71	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	5	-2	16.3	18.3	-1.96	16.5	17.6	-1.15
Kelvin Cato	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	6	-4	17.3	15.7	1.61	17.5	15.5	2.04
Eric Piatkowski	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	8	-8	18.2	15.8	2.46	15.1	17.5	-2.43
Scott Padgett	8	8	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	17	-26	20.5	16.3	4.25	17.9	16.5	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.74,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 92, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DET 74, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
MIA 104, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%