NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	105		Excitement	7.0 [402]		MVP	Mason Plumlee (BKN): +20.0%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	1.2 [761]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (DET): -17.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08	0.11	0.04	0.07	15	61%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04	-0.03	0.07	0.00	15	47%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.04
Jonas Jerebko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	91%	0.13	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	9	65%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	16	34%	-0.11	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.07
Brandon Jennings	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	12	33%	-0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.06	0.02	10	84%	0.29	1	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	7	82%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	9	67%	0.18	5	-0.11	6	67%	0.04
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	14	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	26.2	16.3	28.6	2.4	40.6	137.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +46.0%

BKN +21.9%

DET -23.9%

BKN +5.4%

BKN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BKN	NBA	DET	BKN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.1	105.0	110.0	104.2
season	15.7	15.3		104.0	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.8	15.7	13.0	14.3	14.6
BKN	15.5	13.8	13.6	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	44	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-6	7	15.5	13.9	1.53	14.1	14.2	-0.15
Caron Butler	38	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-4	3	16.7	13.4	3.33	14.3	14.1	0.19
D.J. Augustin	39	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-4	3	16.6	13.3	3.31	13.9	14.4	-0.46
Jonas Jerebko	34	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-3	1	16.6	13.6	2.98	15.1	13.7	1.35
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	13.4	17.7	-4.37	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Jodie Meeks	48	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-9	13	15.3	14.0	1.29	14.8	13.7	1.11
Kyle Singler	43	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	6	-17	14.6	14.6	-0.07	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Andre Drummond	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	0	-5	13.7	16.1	-2.47	13.7	14.9	-1.20
Brandon Jennings	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	13.3	16.6	-3.31	14.4	13.9	0.46
Josh Smith	61	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	3	-11	13.6	16.3	-2.72	14.1	14.2	-0.08

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	79	80	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	-2	9	13.6	16.4	-2.79	13.9	17.3	-3.41
Mirza Teletovic	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-1	7	14.6	13.8	0.73	15.4	13.9	1.47
Alan Anderson	43	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	7	-9	14.3	14.1	0.13	15.7	13.7	1.94
Joe Johnson	76	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.32	-1	6	-7	14.6	12.8	1.83	15.1	13.3	1.79
Sergey Karasev	72	71	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	0	5	13.5	15.9	-2.43	13.7	16.9	-3.25
Mason Plumlee	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.10	5	0	5	14.6	13.4	1.22	14.9	14.0	0.93
Bojan Bogdanovic	30	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	2	1	13.8	14.3	-0.54	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Jerome Jordan	23	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	0	5	13.7	14.3	-0.63	15.5	14.3	1.21
Kevin Garnett	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	6	-7	13.9	14.3	-0.43	12.9	15.7	-2.83
Darius Morris	21	20	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	7	-9	16.4	13.6	2.79	17.3	13.9	3.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, UTA 118	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BOS 83, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.98,0.98,1	94.2%
PHX 101, NJN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.9%