NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	5.8 [669]		MVP	Raja Bell (CHA): +10.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	101		Comeback	1.1 [854]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (MEM): -15.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	11	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	15	70%	0.19	7	-0.19	7	71%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.03	8	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.05
Greg Buckner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	6	35%	-0.09	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Kyle Lowry	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	7	48%	-0.05	3	-0.11	7	71%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	17	69%	0.21	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Singletary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	13	68%	0.12	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	31.0	17.4	27.5	2.6	28.2	135.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +30.2%

MEM -4.3%

CHA +21.1%

CHA +3.4%

MEM -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.5	93.5	107.4	106.4
season	16.1	16.5		101.7	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		104.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.1	14.6	14.3	17.7	15.6
CHA	15.9	16.7	13.4	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	32	32	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-20	25	15.4	15.7	-0.33	16.9	14.6	2.36
Kyle Lowry	33	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.26	8	-23	31	15.6	15.6	0.08	17.3	14.3	2.99
Marko Jaric	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-17	19	16.3	15.2	1.08	16.3	14.9	1.39
Greg Buckner	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-12	9	13.4	15.8	-2.42	15.9	15.3	0.54
Darrell Arthur	46	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-7	-1	14.8	16.4	-1.57	14.7	16.0	-1.28
O.J. Mayo	72	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-2	-11	15.6	15.5	0.05	15.2	16.1	-0.97
Marc Gasol	51	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-1	-13	15.2	16.0	-0.83	14.2	16.8	-2.58
Rudy Gay	69	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	1	-17	15.5	15.9	-0.38	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Hakim Warrick	55	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	-2	-11	16.7	13.9	2.79	16.1	14.3	1.79
Mike Conley	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.20	-23	8	-31	15.6	15.6	-0.08	14.3	17.3	-2.99

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	74	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.08	24	-9	33	14.6	18.4	-3.90	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Raja Bell	80	77	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-5	25	14.8	18.6	-3.83	15.5	15.8	-0.25
Raymond Felton	77	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-3	21	15.4	15.5	-0.11	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Boris Diaw	75	74	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-2	19	15.2	16.3	-1.10	15.8	14.6	1.21
Gerald Wallace	75	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	0	15	15.5	15.1	0.35	15.5	16.1	-0.65
Adam Morrison	24	23	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	15	-15	15.2	15.5	-0.29	15.3	15.7	-0.32
Juwan Howard	29	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	20	-25	17.7	14.4	3.29	16.0	15.4	0.65
Sean Singletary	22	23	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	20	-25	16.5	15.1	1.40	16.7	15.2	1.42
Shannon Brown	9	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	18	-21	18.0	15.1	2.89	15.5	15.6	-0.10
DeSagana Diop	5	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	21	-27	17.8	15.2	2.55	15.5	15.6	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 89, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIN 86, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
IND 88, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.0%