NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	89		Excitement	5.3 [733]		MVP	John Lucas III (TOR): +30.5%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	1.3 [914]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOH): -15.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Roberts	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.07	-0.00	7	87%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	0.01	11	58%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	13	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	65%	0.09	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Darius Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	6	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.11	-0.01	11	86%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	78%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	12	42%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.02	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	9	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	19	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.7	28.9	15.8	28.0	1.8	32.2	132.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.4%

TOR +1.1%

TOR +13.3%

TOR +6.4%

TOR +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	TOR	NBA	NOH	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	17.0	15.4	100.0	113.3	104.1
season	16.3	16.1		103.9	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.6		105.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.1	17.2	13.7	14.9	15.2
TOR	15.5	17.1	17.0	18.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	27	26	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.06	10	-23	33	15.6	15.0	0.56	18.2	16.5	1.62
Lance Thomas	9	10	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-22	31	15.1	15.2	-0.06	20.8	16.5	4.27
Roger Mason Jr.	20	20	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-18	23	13.1	15.8	-2.67	18.6	16.5	2.06
Darius Miller	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	1.0	15.3	-14.33	23.0	16.9	6.14
Xavier Henry	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	1.0	15.3	-14.33	23.0	16.9	6.14
Brian Roberts	26	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-17	21	16.7	14.5	2.15	16.9	17.0	-0.11
Ryan Anderson	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-11	9	15.8	13.8	2.09	17.1	16.8	0.25
Austin Rivers	43	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-13	13	17.1	13.3	3.77	16.8	17.1	-0.31
Anthony Davis	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-1	-11	14.9	15.3	-0.39	15.8	17.9	-2.05
Eric Gordon	56	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	3	-19	14.2	16.9	-2.72	16.6	17.6	-0.99
Greivis Vasquez	63	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	4	-21	14.5	16.7	-2.15	17.0	16.9	0.11
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	52	-0.66	0.15	-0.81	0.05	-24	11	-35	15.5	14.8	0.67	16.2	18.1	-1.91
Robin Lopez	51	51	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.08	-22	9	-31	14.9	15.6	-0.67	16.7	17.4	-0.63

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	78	76	0.77	-0.27	1.03	-0.03	27	-14	41	16.6	19.9	-3.37	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Jonas Valanciunas	64	64	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.06	19	-6	25	17.0	16.9	0.11	14.9	15.8	-0.82
Kyle Lowry	55	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	-2	17	16.3	18.1	-1.82	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Landry Fields	34	33	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	6	1	17.3	16.8	0.43	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Alan Anderson	55	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	9	-5	17.9	15.5	2.38	15.8	14.2	1.60
John Lucas III	35	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	15	-17	18.1	16.3	1.82	15.4	15.1	0.30
Amir Johnson	52	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.06	3	10	-7	16.9	17.2	-0.27	14.8	15.6	-0.76
DeMar DeRozan	58	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	13	-13	17.3	16.5	0.78	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Aaron Gray	3	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	12	-11	12.3	17.2	-4.83	17.2	15.1	2.18
Terrence Ross	16	14	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.04	-9	22	-31	15.6	17.3	-1.75	17.0	14.8	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	94.4%
LAC 84, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
POR 91, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%