NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	5.9 [650]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (LAL): +12.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	1.6 [1180]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -20.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.00
Rashad McCants	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	5	42%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.07	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.03	0.07	6	79%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.05
Kevin Love	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	24	38%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Randy Foye	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.05	-0.04	12	19%	-0.13	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.02	8	74%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	12	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	24	48%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	28.4	15.8	25.1	2.7	33.3	133.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.7%

MIN -1.0%

MIN -20.1%

LAL +18.8%

LAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.5	15.5	90.5	100.0	106.4
season	15.8	14.9		104.3	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		102.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	17.1	15.3	13.5	15.4
LAL	14.2	13.1	16.0	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	7	7	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-15	18	16.1	15.3	0.82	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Sebastian Telfair	30	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-12	12	16.3	14.9	1.39	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Rashad McCants	47	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-12	12	16.0	14.7	1.27	13.8	15.1	-1.29
Craig Smith	64	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-6	0	14.7	16.7	-2.02	14.5	14.4	0.18
Kevin Love	40	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-10	8	16.2	14.8	1.37	14.6	14.4	0.27
Ryan Gomes	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-2	-8	15.0	16.3	-1.29	14.7	14.0	0.63
Randy Foye	65	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	14.9	16.3	-1.39	14.6	14.2	0.40
Al Jefferson	78	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	3	-18	15.5	14.9	0.53	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Mike Miller	78	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	6	-24	15.3	15.8	-0.47	14.6	13.8	0.79

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	76	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-2	16	14.4	14.9	-0.50	15.1	16.2	-1.10
Lamar Odom	48	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	5	2	14.5	14.4	0.12	15.0	15.8	-0.87
Derek Fisher	67	64	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	-2	16	14.4	14.6	-0.15	15.0	16.1	-1.02
Andrew Bynum	72	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	4	4	14.6	14.2	0.44	16.3	13.0	3.22
Trevor Ariza	58	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	9	-6	14.2	14.9	-0.67	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Pau Gasol	71	68	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	3	6	14.4	14.7	-0.31	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Luke Walton	40	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	3	6	14.9	14.2	0.67	15.7	15.2	0.53
Jordan Farmar	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	14	-16	14.6	14.4	0.15	16.1	15.0	1.02
Sasha Vujacic	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	14	-16	14.9	14.4	0.50	16.2	15.1	1.10
Vladimir Radmanovic	5	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	12	-12	13.4	14.5	-1.14	15.0	15.4	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 100, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.89,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.94,1,1	94.5%
LAC 103, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.94,0.83,0.99,1	94.2%