NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	6.1 [616]		MVP	Al Harrington (NYK): +24.9%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	1.3 [795]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -13.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.25	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.23	0.04	0.02	21	72%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	15	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	9	56%	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	16	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Chris Duhon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	15	55%	0.03	6	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	9	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	16	71%	0.19	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	15	67%	0.17	4	-0.09	12	75%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	14	38%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	20	40%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	26.6	19.0	25.2	2.7	30.2	127.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +47.8%

TOR +0.1%

TOR +6.3%

NYK -3.2%

NYK -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	15.5	99.0	108.8	106.4
season	13.8	15.1		106.2	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		108.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	14.7	14.6	13.2	14.4
TOR	12.7	13.0	14.8	15.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	61	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-13	15	14.9	13.6	1.24	14.1	13.8	0.25
David Lee	87	86	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-11	11	14.3	14.9	-0.62	14.2	13.0	1.16
Wilson Chandler	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	14.8	14.0	0.76	14.5	13.4	1.14
Larry Hughes	35	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-3	-5	14.2	14.5	-0.34	13.4	14.3	-0.90
Chris Wilcox	21	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-2	-7	13.8	14.5	-0.74	13.6	14.1	-0.54
Chris Duhon	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	14.5	14.2	0.27	14.0	14.0	0.03
Quentin Richardson	27	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	1	-13	15.2	14.1	1.13	12.4	14.6	-2.14
Nate Robinson	68	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-6	1	13.9	15.5	-1.57	14.1	13.7	0.44
Al Harrington	81	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.2	15.1	-0.88	14.1	13.4	0.75

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	91	92	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-7	25	14.1	12.6	1.51	14.8	9.9	4.95
Anthony Parker	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.06	14	-3	17	14.0	13.9	0.11	14.3	14.6	-0.36
Joey Graham	51	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	4	3	13.1	14.8	-1.73	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Jose Calderon	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	4	3	14.0	13.9	0.12	14.4	14.4	-0.06
Andrea Bargnani	83	82	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	7	-3	13.9	14.2	-0.28	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Jason Kapono	42	40	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	11	-11	14.4	13.7	0.68	14.3	14.5	-0.16
Roko Leni Ukic	27	25	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	7	-3	13.9	14.0	-0.12	14.4	14.4	0.06
Chris Bosh	71	71	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	10	-9	14.2	13.5	0.67	14.2	14.8	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.89,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
CLE 103, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%
CLE 86, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	93.6%