NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	5.5 [737]		MVP	Rasual Butler (MIA): +18.0%
Miami Heat	92		Comeback	1.0 [1180]		LVP	Lucious Harris (CLE): -9.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	22	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	16	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ira Newble	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	15	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	43%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	8	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	5	110%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	1	125%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	20	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.03
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.00	8	31%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	17	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	9	33%	-0.09
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.6	35.6	19.0	27.2	3.4	32.6	146.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +50.6%

CLE -9.2%

MIA +3.0%

MIA +6.7%

CLE -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.5	94.5	104.5	104.0
season	16.2	15.7		104.6	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		101.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.7	18.3	15.7	16.0	16.7
MIA	15.2	14.5	15.7	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	14	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	16.9	16.6	0.32	17.6	15.1	2.48
Scott Williams	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	13.3	16.8	-3.44	16.7	15.5	1.21
Anderson Varejao	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-3	0	20.6	15.8	4.83	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Robert Traylor	22	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-2	-2	20.8	15.3	5.42	15.5	15.5	0.03
Lucious Harris	37	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-3	0	15.4	17.5	-2.16	13.4	17.0	-3.62
Jeff McInnis	74	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-8	10	15.7	20.6	-4.90	15.1	17.4	-2.29
Ira Newble	24	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	18.1	16.1	1.93	18.0	14.6	3.44
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	15.3	19.8	-4.57	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Drew Gooden	77	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-5	4	15.9	20.9	-4.96	15.6	14.9	0.69
Eric Snow	42	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	0	-6	18.6	15.0	3.55	16.5	14.6	1.92
LeBron James	82	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	2	-10	16.6	17.0	-0.38	15.2	18.0	-2.78

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	51	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-2	10	15.1	16.0	-0.86	17.0	16.1	0.86
Eddie Jones	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-4	14	15.9	14.5	1.43	16.9	16.2	0.67
Dwyane Wade	76	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	0	6	14.8	19.8	-5.02	16.1	21.0	-4.94
Shaquille O'Neal	62	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	0	6	15.7	15.0	0.71	16.3	17.5	-1.27
Damon Jones	59	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	6	-6	16.5	13.4	3.06	16.6	16.8	-0.27
Rasual Butler	51	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	7	-8	14.0	17.6	-3.66	17.0	16.2	0.79
Wesley Person	14	15	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	3	0	18.8	14.9	3.91	18.2	16.4	1.84
Malik Allen	30	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	7	-8	16.7	14.9	1.77	17.1	16.5	0.65
Michael Doleac	33	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	7	-8	14.6	16.0	-1.43	16.5	16.8	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 84, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.87,0.77,0.94,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
CHH 90, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,1	94.7%
WAS 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%