NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	84		Excitement	5.5 [691]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +16.1%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	1.0 [1291]		LVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): -22.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeQuan Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	63%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	21	41%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	6	21%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.16,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.08	-0.04	19	29%	-0.10	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.03	0.04	10	91%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.06	-0.07	6	60%	0.14	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.00	-0.02	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.03	-0.00	7	29%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	11	32%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	9	40%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.02	9	11%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	25.3	15.5	22.5	2.4	27.6	116.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.1%

ORL -1.8%

SAS +15.7%

ORL -4.3%

SAS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	SAS	NBA	ORL	SAS	NBA
this game	13.6	15.3	15.4	84.0	99.0	104.1
season	15.5	15.2		100.3	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		99.5	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.1	13.3	14.7	13.4	13.6
SAS	13.5	14.9	17.3	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeQuan Jones	41	41	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.22	10	-24	34	13.7	13.6	0.15	15.7	15.1	0.56
Nikola Vucevic	77	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-11	8	13.6	13.5	0.13	15.3	15.5	-0.23
Doron Lamb	34	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-10	6	13.3	13.8	-0.49	15.4	15.3	0.03
Tobias Harris	88	86	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-7	0	13.5	14.6	-1.09	15.5	14.5	1.00
Andrew Nicholson	21	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-1	-12	13.6	13.6	-0.06	13.0	16.0	-2.94
Kyle O'Quinn	20	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-2	-10	14.4	13.4	0.97	15.6	15.2	0.36
Maurice Harkless	88	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-2	-10	13.6	13.6	0.04	15.3	15.5	-0.19
E'Twaun Moore	49	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-1	-12	13.2	14.0	-0.74	16.0	14.7	1.21
Beno Udrih	82	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	2	-18	13.9	12.5	1.37	15.3	15.6	-0.34

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	58	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.12	24	-10	34	14.4	16.6	-2.22	14.3	12.6	1.69
Cory Joseph	25	25	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	0	14	15.4	15.3	0.09	13.3	13.7	-0.45
Matt Bonner	45	47	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	15.6	15.1	0.57	13.0	14.2	-1.21
Aron Baynes	36	35	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	6	2	16.6	14.6	2.01	13.3	13.8	-0.51
Nando De Colo	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	3	8	15.5	15.1	0.44	14.3	12.7	1.66
Patty Mills	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	11	-8	16.1	14.5	1.63	13.3	14.0	-0.75
Tiago Splitter	33	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	8	-2	15.8	15.1	0.64	14.3	13.2	1.07
Gary Neal	66	66	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.18	-1	15	-16	15.5	15.1	0.36	12.7	15.5	-2.80
Boris Diaw	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	12	-10	15.0	15.7	-0.66	14.1	13.1	1.03
Tim Duncan	30	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	13.3	16.2	-2.87	13.2	13.8	-0.60
Stephen Jackson	42	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	22	-30	15.2	15.4	-0.21	14.0	13.4	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.87,0.77,0.94,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	95.5%
WAS 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
SAC 99, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%