NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	94		Excitement	6.6 [524]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +12.7%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	2.0 [599]		LVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -8.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	72%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	0.00	13	46%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Frank Kaminsky	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	16	34%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	27%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.04	0.06	16	69%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	11	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	7	43%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	17	63%	0.14	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	8	76%	0.05	4	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	30.8	15.6	24.5	2.3	33.3	132.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +70.2%

CHA -26.6%

CHA -9.7%

IND +13.1%

IND +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.8	94.9	113.4	107.7
season	15.1	14.9		107.9	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		108.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.1	14.4	12.5	16.7	14.3
IND	13.6	15.6	14.6	16.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	43	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-22	28	13.6	14.9	-1.37	14.3	15.7	-1.38
Marvin Williams	60	56	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.19	-6	-10	4	14.5	14.0	0.53	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Cody Zeller	63	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-12	8	14.5	14.0	0.55	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Nicolas Batum	71	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-6	-4	13.9	15.4	-1.49	15.1	15.0	0.15
Kemba Walker	73	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	-1	-14	14.9	12.7	2.16	14.6	16.4	-1.79
Ramon Sessions	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-15	14	12.7	14.9	-2.16	16.4	14.6	1.79
Jeremy Lamb	28	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-10	4	15.4	13.9	1.49	15.0	15.1	-0.15
Roy Hibbert	36	35	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	-4	-8	14.0	14.5	-0.55	15.3	14.9	0.38
Frank Kaminsky	39	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	-6	-4	14.0	14.5	-0.53	15.6	14.7	0.85
Marco Belinelli	54	54	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.06	-22	6	-28	14.9	13.6	1.37	15.7	14.3	1.38

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	72	75	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.11	25	-9	34	14.6	16.4	-1.84	14.8	12.8	2.02
Glenn Robinson	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	1	14	14.8	15.6	-0.84	14.7	13.6	1.12
Aaron Brooks	26	26	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.16	8	8	0	16.1	14.7	1.43	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Myles Turner	68	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	-2	20	14.2	17.0	-2.80	15.3	12.1	3.14
CJ Miles	40	39	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	9	-2	15.8	14.6	1.24	14.1	14.5	-0.45
Rodney Stuckey	44	45	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	11	-6	15.6	14.6	0.95	13.8	14.7	-0.88
Al Jefferson	25	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	13	-10	16.5	14.6	1.95	12.5	14.9	-2.41
Jeff Teague	71	73	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.13	8	8	0	14.7	16.1	-1.43	14.4	14.1	0.33
Thaddeus Young	59	62	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	11	-6	14.7	15.7	-0.96	14.2	14.5	-0.22
Lavoy Allen	14	15	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.05	-14	30	-44	18.1	14.6	3.59	11.3	14.9	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,1	93.2%
GSW 79, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.0%
PHI 85, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.91,1	93.0%