inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 113 Excitement5.3 [379] MVPMichael Porter Jr. (DEN): +18.2%
Orlando Magic 100 Comeback2.6 [361] LVPPaolo Banchero (ORL): -16.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.080.00971%0.221-0.03367%-0.01
Christian Braun0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.030.031074%0.171-0.037100%0.04
Nikola Jokic0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.010.01980%0.172-0.05786%0.03
Jamal Murray0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.011656%0.081-0.002100%0.01
Peyton Watson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00267%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Julian Strawther0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.02839%0.001-0.002100%0.01
PJ Hall0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Hunter Tyson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Pickett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Jordan-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.06633%-0.013-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Gordon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.02475%0.035-0.07475%-0.01
Russell Westbrook-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.01960%0.055-0.14250%-0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tristan da Silva0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.02-0.031060%0.101-0.0000%0.00
Caleb Houstan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.003100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jonathan Isaac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01856%0.0600.002100%0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.02-0.031547%0.0300.00475%0.00
Anthony Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011058%0.022-0.00475%-0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.03-0.051439%0.001-0.03367%-0.00
Trevelin Queen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.041136%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Cole Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.020.021335%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Paolo Banchero0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.040.021629%-0.141-0.02367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.736.214.724.22.529.4132.9
league avg25.72.328.114.928.42.332.2134.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +50.5%
DEN +19.8%
DEN +9.8%
ORL -27.9%
ORL -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game13.515.814.4116.5101.0112.2
season13.915.3117.1107.3
opponent14.414.5107.6112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.712.213.116.313.5
ORL15.517.115.715.015.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic62650.59-0.090.670.0020-72712.315.6-3.2916.015.50.56
Christian Braun73740.57-0.070.65-0.0722-93113.613.20.4816.115.20.85
Michael Porter Jr.56570.500.000.490.17112913.114.1-0.9516.714.71.95
Jamal Murray76790.380.120.25-0.011301313.413.9-0.4815.915.70.17
Russell Westbrook52540.330.170.160.0794512.614.6-2.0516.015.60.40
Aaron Gordon43440.160.34-0.17-0.13103714.013.10.8516.015.70.21
Julian Strawther51510.070.43-0.360.19-417-2114.912.02.9015.016.8-1.81
Jalen Pickett540.000.50-0.500.06-215-1717.413.34.0813.515.9-2.44
PJ Hall440.000.50-0.500.06-215-1711.213.6-2.3713.515.9-2.44
Hunter Tyson440.000.50-0.500.06-215-1711.213.6-2.3713.515.9-2.44
Zeke Nnaji440.000.50-0.500.06-215-1711.213.6-2.3713.515.9-2.44
Peyton Watson2425-0.010.51-0.520.08-316-1912.713.8-1.1415.515.9-0.43
DeAndre Jordan3130-0.090.59-0.670.06-518-2316.212.33.9215.715.9-0.15

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Joseph45-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-151713.515.9-2.4417.413.34.08
Caleb Houstan3032-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-11915.616.0-0.3914.113.20.85
Jonathan Isaac2223-0.17-0.330.160.06-8-5-316.215.70.5013.313.6-0.35
Anthony Black5555-0.21-0.290.080.02-8-5-316.215.40.7314.012.91.10
Paolo Banchero6360-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.16-4-9515.316.9-1.6113.513.50.06
Trevelin Queen4748-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.03-9-4-516.115.60.5913.014.0-1.00
Wendell Carter Jr.7370-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.12-7-6-115.815.80.0413.713.00.78
Cole Anthony6258-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-130-1316.115.40.6512.515.0-2.51
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope7471-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.12-9-4-515.915.70.2113.414.0-0.60
Tristan da Silva6563-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.18-7-6-115.716.0-0.2913.812.90.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 128, MIN 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
MIA 119, POR 980.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%
MEM 102, LAL 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%