inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 119 Excitement4.8 [933] MVPKyle Lowry (MIA): +13.6%
Portland Trail Blazers 98 Comeback2.3 [643] LVPJerami Grant (POR): -6.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.140,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.110.02-0.00889%0.223-0.08367%-0.00
Jimmy Butler0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.02-0.031550%0.081-0.02475%-0.00
Caleb Martin0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.120.010.068100%0.102-0.0400%0.00
Max Strus0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.00-0.001173%0.113-0.0500%0.00
Gabe Vincent0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.01-0.04557%0.0610.004100%0.01
Tyler Herro0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.011352%0.061-0.011100%0.01
Duncan Robinson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.00-0.06736%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dru Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.02333%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.040.000.071162%0.033-0.07786%-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anfernee Simons0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.02-0.051256%0.133-0.071100%0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.010.001369%0.164-0.106100%0.03
Drew Eubanks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shaedon Sharpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.011252%0.062-0.05560%-0.02
Josh Hart0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.06-0.030.03491%0.072-0.073100%0.01
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02950%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jabari Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nassir Little0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Greg Brown III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04233%0.001-0.0020%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03739%0.011-0.01475%0.00
Keon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02250%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.04-0.041044%0.033-0.09540%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.027.414.624.22.425.4123.8
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +30.3%
POR -4.6%
MIA +16.0%
MIA +8.3%
POR -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPORNBAMIAPORNBA
this game14.515.214.4122.7101.0113.4
season15.114.7111.9113.4
opponent14.114.6117.3112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.813.614.215.614.5
POR14.015.916.414.415.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jimmy Butler59580.390.110.280.071110114.215.0-0.8214.616.0-1.40
Tyler Herro60590.390.110.280.101011-114.115.2-1.0314.516.3-1.81
Max Strus56550.370.130.24-0.3324-32713.615.8-2.2616.114.02.10
Kyle Lowry56540.370.130.230.13813-514.115.1-1.0314.416.2-1.79
Nikola Jovic28290.250.25-0.010.16318-1514.614.50.1112.916.1-3.19
Bam Adebayo56560.230.27-0.04-0.271741314.914.00.9516.413.52.86
Caleb Martin58570.230.27-0.05-0.331921714.714.30.3616.513.33.13
Gabe Vincent38400.120.38-0.26-0.201110114.114.8-0.7816.614.22.40
Duncan Robinson37380.110.39-0.28-0.24129315.214.11.0316.314.51.81
Dewayne Dedmon11110.050.45-0.410.02120-1912.614.8-2.1316.315.01.25
Udonis Haslem440.000.50-0.500.03-122-2322.014.27.8010.215.4-5.13
Haywood Highsmith11120.000.50-0.500.15-526-3117.814.13.7111.015.8-4.75
Dru Smith11120.000.50-0.500.15-526-3117.814.13.7111.015.8-4.75

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Brown III1615-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-212113.215.5-2.2916.514.22.30
Jabari Walker1615-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-212113.215.5-2.2916.514.22.30
Keon Johnson1616-0.06-0.440.380.00-2-191712.715.6-2.8917.713.93.86
Jusuf Nurkic5150-0.09-0.410.320.14-8-13516.613.62.9615.014.10.90
Nassir Little3433-0.13-0.370.240.01-5-161115.015.3-0.2515.913.82.05
Drew Eubanks2020-0.21-0.290.090.12-11-10-117.414.62.8213.814.7-0.85
Shaedon Sharpe4343-0.26-0.24-0.020.01-9-12314.215.9-1.7614.514.5-0.03
Damian Lillard5656-0.28-0.22-0.070.01-10-11114.516.0-1.4913.915.4-1.54
Anfernee Simons5858-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-6-916.213.62.5914.614.40.24
Jerami Grant5960-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.04-11-10-114.915.5-0.5913.915.5-1.64
Josh Hart6667-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-15-6-915.015.5-0.4213.916.0-2.09
Justise Winslow5052-0.40-0.10-0.290.16-19-2-1715.714.61.1913.615.6-2.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 119, PHX 1050.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
NOH 94, POR 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
LAL 123, LAC 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%