NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	119		Excitement	4.7 [897]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +15.6%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	2.8 [225]		LVP	Raja Bell (PHX): -15.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.00	23	64%	0.23	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Quinton Ross	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	11	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	-0.01	0.04	15	77%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.06	12	68%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	13	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	11	39%	-0.00	5	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	0.05	17	42%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	18	28%	-0.15	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.6	33.0	17.4	26.5	3.5	28.5	133.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.1%

LAC +16.0%

LAC +3.5%

PHX -8.4%

PHX -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	15.6	119.0	106.1	104.4
season	15.2	13.8		103.9	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	13.8	15.7	17.1	15.3
PHX	13.7	14.4	14.3	12.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	51	51	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-4	22	14.2	16.4	-2.23	13.6	13.7	-0.04
Elton Brand	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.00	17	-3	20	15.1	16.4	-1.32	13.7	13.7	-0.08
Shaun Livingston	76	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-4	22	14.8	16.8	-2.06	13.7	13.4	0.36
Vladimir Radmanovic	80	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	4	6	15.2	15.6	-0.47	13.6	14.1	-0.54
Cuttino Mobley	58	56	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	7	0	16.1	14.2	1.86	13.7	13.7	-0.01
Chris Kaman	58	59	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	11	-8	16.0	14.3	1.74	13.6	13.7	-0.14
James Singleton	8	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	12	-10	13.7	15.4	-1.65	14.4	13.6	0.82
Daniel Ewing	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	16	-18	16.0	15.0	1.04	13.8	13.6	0.24
Corey Maggette	59	58	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	17	-20	15.7	14.7	0.95	13.6	13.7	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-11	8	14.5	13.3	1.24	15.2	15.3	-0.06
James Jones	40	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-13	12	13.1	14.0	-0.91	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Boris Diaw	83	84	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-7	0	13.4	14.8	-1.37	15.0	16.9	-1.91
Tim Thomas	52	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-8	2	14.1	13.1	0.99	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Leandro Barbosa	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-7	0	13.8	13.4	0.34	15.6	14.5	1.08
Raja Bell	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	1	-16	13.4	14.3	-0.86	15.6	14.4	1.27
Steve Nash	66	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	3	-20	13.7	13.5	0.23	15.4	14.9	0.50
Shawn Marion	85	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	0	-14	13.6	14.1	-0.47	15.3	14.8	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
PHI 93, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0	94.8%
PHX 102, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%