NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	4.3 [938]		MVP	Matt Geiger (PHI): +5.8%
Chicago Bulls	89		Comeback	3.2 [561]		LVP	Matt Maloney (CHI): -12.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	12	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	10	48%	-0.02	2	-0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	14	51%	-0.01	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	10	37%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
George Lynch	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	16	44%	-0.10	3	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	6	86%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	9	65%	-0.01	3	-0.06	8	87%	-0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	0.04	19	59%	0.00	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	7	21%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.0	29.3	16.3	25.7	2.6	37.6	134.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +5.8%

PHI +4.0%

PHI +17.5%

PHI +23.1%

CHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	15.2	101.1	95.7	101.7
season	15.0	16.5		99.5	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.5		102.3	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	15.8	14.2	16.9	15.7
CHI	17.2	15.5	17.0	12.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	69	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-7	18	15.1	17.3	-2.14	15.6	15.2	0.32
Aaron McKie	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-1	6	15.5	16.5	-0.97	15.7	14.4	1.31
Eric Snow	84	84	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	3	-2	15.6	15.7	-0.11	15.2	17.9	-2.66
George Lynch	78	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	5	-6	15.6	16.2	-0.66	14.8	18.6	-3.80
Matt Geiger	50	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	-4	12	15.1	16.3	-1.12	15.5	15.5	0.01
Tyrone Hill	56	58	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.34	-4	8	-12	16.5	14.4	2.12	16.1	14.4	1.69
Kevin Ollie	31	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	1	2	17.2	14.9	2.32	15.6	15.4	0.21
Nazr Mohammed	1	2	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	4	-4	3.0	15.8	-12.79	21.5	15.4	6.15
Theo Ratliff	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	15.8	15.6	0.16	15.3	15.5	-0.23

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	14	14	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-7	10	17.1	15.2	1.87	16.6	15.5	1.17
B.J. Armstrong	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	0	-4	16.4	15.1	1.30	15.1	15.9	-0.87
Corey Benjamin	32	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.36	8	-12	20	12.9	16.8	-3.88	16.1	15.4	0.72
Chris Anstey	56	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-8	12	14.6	16.8	-2.16	15.3	16.2	-0.90
Chris Carr	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	6	-16	16.2	14.9	1.29	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Fred Hoiberg	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-10	16	14.9	16.2	-1.29	16.1	15.0	1.09
Matt Maloney	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.52	9	-13	22	15.1	16.0	-0.83	16.3	14.8	1.50
Michael Ruffin	52	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	3	-10	16.6	14.0	2.61	16.2	14.9	1.22
Elton Brand	78	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	1	-6	15.3	16.3	-0.93	15.6	16.1	-0.57
Hersey Hawkins	55	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.13	-24	20	-44	16.4	14.1	2.29	14.8	16.8	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
TOR 110, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
CLE 128, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%