inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 128 Excitement5.1 [708] MVPDorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +11.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 108 Comeback2.5 [741] LVPLuka Doncic (DAL): -14.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.040.00769%0.1100.002100%0.01
Kristaps Porzingis0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.11-0.00-0.002358%0.141-0.034100%0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.030.021755%0.0900.00450%-0.03
Dwight Powell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.130.010.081076%0.0600.001100%0.00
Maxi Kleber0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.01-0.01558%0.0400.00250%-0.02
Jalen Brunson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.010.041259%0.042-0.03367%-0.01
Josh Richardson0.000,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.020.03671%0.0010.002100%0.01
Josh Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tyler Bey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nate Hinton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Trey Burke-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Luka Doncic-0.150,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.020.051644%-0.074-0.08250%-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01856%0.0600.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.040.10968%0.051-0.01771%0.01
Jaylen Nowell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01858%0.051-0.023100%0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.03-0.032052%0.082-0.052100%0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jake Layman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02473%0.064-0.05333%-0.03
Jarrett Culver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Anthony Edwards0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.09-0.020.112353%-0.0400.00989%-0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.05-0.02721%-0.053-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.71.827.214.825.11.827.3127.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +16.5%
MIN -1.6%
DAL +26.0%
DAL +10.9%
MIN -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMINNBADALMINNBA
this game13.814.014.4123.1104.9111.3
season15.014.1114.3108.7
opponent14.014.4113.9112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL12.914.913.913.713.8
MIN12.415.116.113.014.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kristaps Porzingis61600.450.050.400.04146813.314.6-1.3015.112.52.68
Dorian Finney-Smith61610.410.090.320.09119213.314.5-1.1814.912.72.22
Maxi Kleber70680.380.120.26-0.00137614.811.73.1113.614.8-1.21
Josh Richardson67680.370.130.240.081010013.514.4-0.8614.513.11.34
Tim Hardaway Jr.58600.350.150.19-0.151731413.514.2-0.7514.014.1-0.11
Jalen Brunson63650.340.160.18-0.161731413.813.9-0.0914.014.1-0.04
Luka Doncic57540.210.29-0.08-0.03812-415.212.13.0114.213.90.33
Dwight Powell43430.050.45-0.40-0.13614-814.613.31.3012.515.1-2.68
Josh Green760.000.50-0.50-0.06218-169.414.1-4.6811.714.2-2.51
Tyler Bey760.000.50-0.50-0.06218-169.414.1-4.6811.714.2-2.51
Nate Hinton760.000.50-0.50-0.06218-169.414.1-4.6811.714.2-2.51
Trey Burke1918-0.050.55-0.600.01-222-2414.613.60.9612.914.3-1.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarred Vanderbilt29300.09-0.590.68-0.034-242814.214.00.2013.913.80.14
Jarrett Culver1818-0.11-0.390.280.07-6-14811.714.5-2.8013.413.9-0.49
Naz Reid3436-0.11-0.390.280.07-6-14812.115.0-2.9013.414.0-0.54
Anthony Edwards7981-0.18-0.320.140.02-7-13614.213.40.8514.013.01.08
Jake Layman3333-0.28-0.22-0.070.07-12-8-412.614.7-2.0512.214.5-2.32
Jaden McDaniels5860-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-9-214.713.21.5114.512.91.58
Jaylen Nowell5556-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-6-813.314.9-1.6613.713.9-0.18
Ricky Rubio6362-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.02-11-9-215.312.03.3613.913.60.30
Karl-Anthony Towns6968-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-14-6-815.012.12.9014.013.40.54
Juancho Hernangomez7776-0.560.06-0.620.12-233-2613.914.4-0.5313.714.0-0.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 101, MEM 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
PHI 91, WAS 840.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,094.3%
LAC 102, CHA 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.3%