NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	4.5 [916]		MVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): +14.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	93		Comeback	2.0 [363]		LVP	Jake Voskuhl (CHA): -15.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.01	0.08	12	96%	0.16	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	77%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	12	44%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	14	58%	0.12	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Yaroslav Korolev	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Jason Hart	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	11	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	3	73%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	15	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	9	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	10	43%	-0.03	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	26.0	15.4	25.4	2.4	34.6	131.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.3%

LAC +2.0%

LAC +6.2%

LAC +6.0%

LAC +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.4	110.9	101.1	104.5
season	15.7	15.7		103.3	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.6	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	14.0	14.3	15.3	14.9
CHA	16.5	15.3	20.0	14.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	3	3	15.5	12.5	3.04	16.5	15.9	0.58
Tim Thomas	75	77	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	1	7	14.9	15.3	-0.43	16.8	14.3	2.50
Elton Brand	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-1	11	15.7	13.1	2.55	16.0	17.2	-1.16
Corey Maggette	59	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	1	7	15.4	14.1	1.33	16.7	15.8	0.94
Jason Hart	60	59	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	4	1	15.3	14.3	0.97	15.9	17.2	-1.24
Sam Cassell	39	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	0	9	13.9	15.7	-1.78	17.3	15.6	1.67
Quinton Ross	47	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	3	3	14.3	15.6	-1.28	15.3	17.4	-2.02
Chris Kaman	25	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	6	-3	13.3	15.6	-2.23	17.3	16.0	1.38
Yaroslav Korolev	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	15.0	14.9	0.06	12.0	16.4	-4.41
Daniel Ewing	12	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	15	-21	13.1	15.2	-2.14	14.2	16.7	-2.47

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-13	17	13.9	16.8	-2.95	15.9	14.8	1.08
Jake Voskuhl	61	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-6	3	16.6	15.8	0.78	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Jeff McInnis	37	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-10	11	16.0	16.6	-0.65	14.4	15.3	-0.93
Raymond Felton	72	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-11	13	15.8	18.3	-2.48	15.6	13.0	2.62
Matt Carroll	71	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-5	1	15.9	18.0	-2.19	15.4	13.6	1.78
Adam Morrison	33	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	2	-13	17.9	15.5	2.42	12.8	16.2	-3.41
Gerald Wallace	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	4	-17	17.1	14.4	2.70	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Derek Anderson	58	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	3	-15	16.6	15.9	0.66	15.4	14.2	1.25
Walter Herrmann	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	0	-9	16.2	16.5	-0.36	14.9	15.0	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CHI 89, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
LAL 123, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%