NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	4.9 [670]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (ORL): +12.9%
Indiana Pacers	83		Comeback	2.2 [271]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -11.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.02	0.06	14	73%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	72%	0.09	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.02	0.03	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Earl Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	82%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	53%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	10	52%	0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	16	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.5	28.2	16.4	24.7	1.8	30.2	130.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +41.4%

IND -8.7%

ORL +3.9%

ORL +11.4%

ORL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.6	112.1	91.2	102.8
season	16.2	15.7		102.8	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.8	15.7	15.2	14.8	15.8
IND	15.0	18.6	16.8	13.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	51	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	9	1	16.1	15.4	0.69	16.6	14.8	1.84
JJ Redick	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	0	19	16.3	15.2	1.06	15.1	16.7	-1.63
Dwight Howard	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	8	3	15.8	15.9	-0.14	16.6	15.0	1.53
Chris Duhon	46	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.21	17	2	15	16.5	15.2	1.30	14.6	17.2	-2.60
Glen Davis	40	41	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	11	-3	16.2	15.5	0.70	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Earl Clark	34	34	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	11	-3	14.8	16.5	-1.66	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Ryan Anderson	61	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	8	3	16.2	15.1	1.15	15.9	15.7	0.16
Jameer Nelson	45	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	17	-15	15.2	16.5	-1.30	17.2	14.6	2.60
Jason Richardson	39	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	19	-19	15.2	16.3	-1.06	16.7	15.1	1.63
Quentin Richardson	40	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.15	9	10	-1	15.4	16.1	-0.69	14.8	16.6	-1.84

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	14.5	15.8	-1.34	23.0	15.7	7.33
Lance Stephenson	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.01	-1	-18	17	14.7	16.0	-1.37	21.3	14.7	6.58
Lou Amundson	26	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-20	21	12.7	17.1	-4.42	18.0	15.0	3.04
David West	56	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-11	3	16.7	14.4	2.34	14.7	17.7	-3.05
Dahntay Jones	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-14	9	14.9	16.4	-1.49	15.9	15.8	0.16
Paul George	68	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-13	7	15.7	16.2	-0.54	15.0	18.6	-3.63
Danny Granger	57	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-5	-9	16.4	14.9	1.49	15.8	15.9	-0.16
Tyler Hansbrough	44	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-8	-3	15.0	16.5	-1.49	16.3	15.4	0.90
George Hill	41	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	0	-19	15.4	16.2	-0.81	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Roy Hibbert	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	0	-19	17.1	14.0	3.10	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Darren Collison	58	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	-7	-5	16.6	14.5	2.13	15.8	15.9	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 117, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
LAC 102, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
TOR 97, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0	94.8%