inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 117 Excitement4.7 [913] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +25.2%
San Antonio Spurs 103 Comeback2.9 [265] LVPRudy Gay (SAS): -13.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.250,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.150.07-0.031473%0.2510.005100%0.02
Torrey Craig0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.180.030.01990%0.2000.00250%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.130.030.022256%0.1500.008100%0.05
Mason Plumlee0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.013100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Monte Morris0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01865%0.063-0.031100%0.00
Will Barton0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.001050%0.0200.00475%0.00
Gary Harris0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.01940%0.0200.002100%0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00744%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Paul Millsap-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.03-0.01714%-0.082-0.0500%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.000.011860%0.1100.00475%-0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.000.02660%0.0500.00875%-0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.011359%0.072-0.02683%0.01
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.02-0.02450%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.01671%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.02567%0.0300.002100%0.01
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.01470%0.0300.00250%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quincy Pondexter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.01530%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Derrick White0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.02-0.03840%-0.044-0.06450%-0.03
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.01712%-0.111-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.33.730.516.430.43.429.6140.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +38.7%
DEN +3.2%
SAS -1.4%
DEN +9.6%
SAS -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game15.814.214.3121.9107.3109.3
season14.814.8112.0111.7
opponent14.414.6110.4108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN17.813.514.018.415.8
SAS12.914.816.712.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Torrey Craig75730.460.040.420.17104616.513.53.0314.114.3-0.19
Nikola Jokic77760.460.040.42-0.0417-32015.815.9-0.1314.612.32.28
Jamal Murray64630.440.060.37-0.0015-11616.514.52.0214.513.51.07
Gary Harris67650.400.100.30-0.011401416.215.11.1114.613.31.28
Paul Millsap53520.270.230.030.0386215.616.1-0.5415.712.43.27
Will Barton34340.180.32-0.140.0459-414.116.8-2.6713.414.6-1.15
Malik Beasley50520.170.33-0.150.0359-415.516.2-0.6313.215.3-2.15
Monte Morris33350.060.44-0.370.03113-1214.816.4-1.6613.214.7-1.46
Mason Plumlee23240.060.44-0.380.15-317-2014.816.2-1.3413.014.5-1.49
Jarred Vanderbilt230.000.50-0.500.03-115-1624.015.78.3310.014.3-4.29
Juancho Hernangomez230.000.50-0.500.03-115-1624.015.78.3310.014.3-4.29

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quincy Pondexter76-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-172010.314.5-4.1724.015.38.70
Lonnie Walker IV98-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-192410.214.6-4.3423.915.18.76
Dante Cunningham76-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-172010.314.5-4.1724.015.38.70
Donatas Motiejunas119-0.03-0.470.45-0.113-172010.214.7-4.4921.315.36.06
Patty Mills3837-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-131214.114.2-0.0414.117.0-2.91
Marco Belinelli3736-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-131213.614.5-0.8314.816.5-1.66
Davis Bertans4644-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-4-10613.115.1-1.9714.217.2-3.03
Jakob Poeltl5859-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-12-2-1014.214.00.2216.614.71.86
Rudy Gay3738-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-9-5-415.613.32.3013.617.3-3.66
LaMarcus Aldridge5859-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.09-8-6-215.012.92.0915.117.1-1.97
Bryn Forbes5355-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-140-1414.713.51.1716.115.40.71
DeMar DeRozan6668-0.38-0.12-0.270.08-162-1814.713.01.6316.015.50.54
Derrick White5355-0.42-0.08-0.350.13-195-2414.813.41.4216.315.31.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 103, ORL 890.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
ORL 102, IND 830.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
SAC 107, CHI 920.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%