inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement5.3 [779] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +8.9%
Washington Wizards 88 Comeback2.5 [555] LVPJonas Valanciunas (TOR): -17.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.090.120.030.062457%0.121-0.031392%0.03
Terrence Ross0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.00487%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Luis Scola0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.011048%0.061-0.033100%0.02
James Johnson0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.01667%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.00657%0.043-0.062100%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.031855%0.116-0.132100%0.01
Patrick Patterson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.00450%-0.026-0.15683%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Otto Porter0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.031070%0.091-0.033100%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kelly Oubre0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00267%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.03540%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00450%0.022-0.072100%0.01
Garrett Temple0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.01939%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.04911%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.00-0.030.061156%-0.023-0.063100%0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.050.021150%-0.022-0.082100%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.02-0.032049%0.037-0.153100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.432.414.723.02.036.0137.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +31.9%
TOR +6.4%
TOR +18.8%
WAS -8.8%
TOR +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game15.912.914.996.088.9105.1
season16.113.8107.2104.1
opponent15.114.8104.6104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.114.415.118.115.9
WAS11.612.713.713.812.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMar DeRozan83810.400.100.290.2554116.015.20.7812.415.4-3.03
Cory Joseph51480.360.140.220.1672515.815.9-0.1613.312.50.74
Kyle Lowry85840.340.160.170.2245-116.512.44.0713.012.30.68
Bismack Biyombo37360.320.180.140.0310-11114.916.4-1.5714.312.12.24
Patrick Patterson58550.290.210.080.2327-516.515.01.4213.412.31.06
Terrence Ross38380.230.27-0.050.0272514.616.6-2.0614.312.12.20
Luis Scola42430.200.30-0.10-0.0172515.416.2-0.7812.313.4-1.07
James Johnson47470.190.31-0.120.0745-115.216.4-1.1712.213.6-1.37
Jonas Valanciunas64630.180.32-0.140.21-110-1116.414.91.5712.114.3-2.24

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Oubre2220-0.10-0.400.31-0.131-101114.912.42.5114.116.3-2.13
Drew Gooden2222-0.18-0.320.140.03-7-2-515.012.32.6312.816.7-3.89
Garrett Temple6869-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-7512.114.7-2.5716.115.30.80
Marcin Gortat7174-0.22-0.280.06-0.251-101112.214.6-2.4216.613.92.69
Jared Dudley6363-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-4-5112.513.7-1.1915.716.2-0.48
Gary Neal3132-0.25-0.250.01-0.10-5-4-114.512.22.2513.516.9-3.41
Nene2726-0.27-0.23-0.040.03-101-1114.712.22.4714.416.4-1.94
John Wall7679-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.21-3-6312.215.1-2.8416.414.02.38
Ramon Sessions4345-0.34-0.17-0.17-0.13-7-2-513.612.41.2316.715.21.53
Otto Porter7275-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.17-90-912.414.1-1.7016.913.03.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 102, IND 830.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
CLE 110, DET 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,094.4%
POR 87, UTA 730.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%