NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Excitement	5.3 [787]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +14.9%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	2.6 [170]		LVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): -12.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	10	68%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	92%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	8	76%	0.14	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Christian Eyenga	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	16	51%	0.06	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	13	55%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Luke Harangody	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Manny Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	-0.02	0.05	14	71%	0.12	2	-0.03	13	100%	0.05
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	6	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.02	0.04	7	76%	0.14	4	-0.12	7	57%	-0.03
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	8	56%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	22%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.6	28.4	17.0	31.1	2.5	48.5	158.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +4.2%

CLE +4.0%

CLE +5.2%

CLE +23.0%

CLE +13.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	15.5	117.0	111.0	105.7
season	15.1	16.7		100.8	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		110.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.9	15.7	12.8	19.5	16.1
DET	13.7	17.0	16.7	12.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	47	45	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.07	19	-10	29	15.6	16.7	-1.13	15.2	14.7	0.53
Daniel Gibson	50	49	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	16.8	15.4	1.41	14.2	15.9	-1.77
Christian Eyenga	48	44	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-2	13	14.8	17.5	-2.75	13.9	16.0	-2.16
JJ Hickson	62	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	4	1	16.0	16.4	-0.45	15.0	15.0	0.02
Baron Davis	39	37	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	2	5	14.7	17.2	-2.47	16.4	14.0	2.45
Ramon Sessions	55	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	7	-5	17.2	14.7	2.47	14.0	16.4	-2.45
Alonzo Gee	56	57	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	12	-15	16.7	15.3	1.42	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Luke Harangody	36	34	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	10	-11	17.1	15.6	1.53	14.6	15.2	-0.53
Manny Harris	43	41	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	9	-9	15.7	16.5	-0.73	16.1	14.1	2.04
Semih Erden	34	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	15	-21	16.7	15.8	0.84	16.4	14.1	2.29

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	41	42	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.13	6	-15	21	15.3	14.7	0.57	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Richard Hamilton	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-8	7	15.5	14.6	0.88	16.0	16.3	-0.34
Charlie Villanueva	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-5	1	15.1	14.9	0.18	15.1	16.6	-1.45
Rodney Stuckey	84	88	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-12	15	14.5	20.3	-5.75	16.5	10.7	5.84
Tayshaun Prince	39	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	4	-17	17.1	13.4	3.72	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Ben Gordon	49	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	14.6	15.5	-0.88	16.3	16.0	0.34
Austin Daye	59	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	14.2	16.4	-2.20	16.1	16.2	-0.08
Greg Monroe	50	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	0	-9	15.4	14.5	0.94	15.9	16.4	-0.53
Jason Maxiell	61	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	2	-13	14.4	16.2	-1.87	17.1	14.1	3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, UTA 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
TOR 97, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0	94.4%
MIL 118, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.02,0,0	94.2%