NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	118		Excitement	5.8 [676]		MVP	Shabazz Muhammad (MIL): +29.4%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	2.7 [732]		LVP	David Nwaba (CHI): -5.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.19	0.08	-0.03	12	84%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.22	0.07	0.01	6	129%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	4	111%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	8	65%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
John Henson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jabari Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	71%	0.16	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	12	63%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	26.6	15.3	24.5	2.3	29.6	128.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +46.0%

CHI -5.0%

CHI -20.0%

MIL +25.8%

MIL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	14.7	129.7	114.1	107.5
season	14.3	14.2		108.5	103.2
opponent	15.0	15.4		110.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.4	14.1	14.9	16.6	15.7
CHI	15.4	14.7	18.5	14.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shabazz Muhammad	41	41	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-3	19	14.6	16.6	-2.06	16.0	15.6	0.44
Tony Snell	42	43	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.11	13	0	13	14.3	16.9	-2.57	16.1	15.5	0.63
Eric Bledsoe	37	38	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	0	13	15.7	15.7	0.02	17.7	14.4	3.33
Jason Terry	54	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	1	11	16.5	14.6	1.90	15.4	16.4	-1.09
John Henson	53	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	2	9	15.8	15.6	0.24	15.9	15.6	0.39
Khris Middleton	67	67	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	5	3	15.9	15.1	0.77	15.4	16.8	-1.34
Thon Maker	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	11	-9	15.6	15.8	-0.24	15.6	15.9	-0.39
Brandon Jennings	54	54	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	13	-13	15.7	15.7	-0.02	14.4	17.7	-3.33
Jabari Parker	54	55	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	9	-5	16.3	14.8	1.49	16.0	15.5	0.50
Sterling Brown	15	14	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	27	-41	16.8	15.5	1.33	16.7	15.6	1.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	42	41	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-24	35	15.6	15.9	-0.34	16.5	15.1	1.40
Cameron Payne	56	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-13	13	16.3	14.9	1.42	16.5	14.3	2.28
Lauri Markkanen	43	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-10	7	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Cristiano Felicio	60	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-11	9	15.9	15.6	0.24	16.2	14.6	1.59
Bobby Portis	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-8	3	15.1	16.4	-1.25	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Denzel Valentine	62	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-1	-11	16.0	15.4	0.52	15.5	16.1	-0.55
Ryan Arcidiacono	21	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-5	-3	15.3	15.9	-0.64	14.1	16.1	-1.98
Jerian Grant	42	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	15.0	16.4	-1.35	15.9	15.5	0.43
Noah Vonleh	38	37	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.01	-16	3	-19	15.9	15.7	0.24	15.6	15.7	-0.12
David Nwaba	53	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.02	-19	6	-25	15.9	15.6	0.33	14.7	16.9	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 110, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.2%
HOU 101, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
PHX 111, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.02,0	93.5%