inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 101 Excitement5.8 [619] MVPDavid Andersen (HOU): +16.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 91 Comeback2.6 [85] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -12.8%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Andersen0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.060.05-0.061468%0.203-0.0300%0.00
Aaron Brooks0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.04,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.140.050.012362%0.243-0.07786%0.02
Carl Landry0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.021060%0.0700.005100%0.02
Kyle Lowry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.00-0.04433%0.031-0.021100%0.01
Shane Battier-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00625%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Luis Scola-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02560%0.034-0.0800%0.00
Chase Budinger-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.001342%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.00425%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.20-0.00-0.081230%0.016-0.14667%-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.110.010.01680%0.1000.003100%0.02
Andrew Bynum0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.000.031268%0.111-0.02771%-0.01
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.10-0.020.041658%0.061-0.02650%-0.04
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00530%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Adam Morrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00437%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.0030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.021327%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.04450%0.035-0.11250%-0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.14-0.05-0.062037%-0.004-0.12989%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.526.916.028.22.729.3131.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +37.3%
LAL -0.6%
HOU +22.4%
LAL -9.8%
HOU +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOULALNBAHOULALNBA
this game13.914.015.397.188.3106.0
season15.015.7106.0107.9
opponent15.115.1103.0106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU12.811.813.318.713.9
LAL11.215.913.416.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Brooks89910.51-0.010.510.1512-21413.615.4-1.7913.318.7-5.42
Chase Budinger59550.490.010.49-0.0017-72413.314.6-1.2614.513.31.18
Trevor Ariza86880.410.090.310.1491813.714.8-1.1013.118.7-5.59
Kyle Lowry47450.380.120.270.1291813.214.4-1.1916.412.14.37
Carl Landry55540.340.160.180.1182614.713.01.6715.412.42.96
David Andersen50480.340.160.170.1373414.513.31.1815.912.23.70
Luis Scola49490.160.34-0.180.1028-613.014.7-1.6712.415.4-2.96
Charles Hayes48490.090.41-0.330.0619-813.114.6-1.4912.115.6-3.51
Shane Battier3736-0.210.71-0.920.23-1525-4016.812.24.6113.514.2-0.71

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Powell1314-0.03-0.470.43-0.00-1-9816.213.62.5113.613.9-0.34
Shannon Brown3133-0.13-0.370.25-0.182-121414.313.80.4214.613.51.13
Adam Morrison65-0.16-0.340.19-0.04-4-6221.513.58.0112.413.9-1.54
Derek Fisher6967-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-8612.417.2-4.8013.614.4-0.80
Sasha Vujacic1920-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.02-8-2-617.813.14.7613.014.1-1.07
Kobe Bryant8686-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.11-7-3-413.317.2-3.9213.913.80.11
Jordan Farmar3437-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.09-8-2-617.212.44.8014.413.60.80
Lamar Odom8182-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.14-7-3-413.416.1-2.7714.013.50.41
Andrew Bynum9292-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.20-6-4-213.616.9-3.3013.814.4-0.62
Metta World Peace8484-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.13-9-1-813.715.1-1.3413.913.80.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 105, MIN 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,094.4%
CLE 108, UTA 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.9%
MIL 118, CHI 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.02,0,093.8%