NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	105		Excitement	4.7 [881]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +26.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	91		Comeback	2.5 [684]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -14.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.24	0.07	0.04	15	82%	0.27	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.03
Danny Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Laprovittola	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	100%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.07	4	79%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	7	94%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	16	69%	0.12	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	16	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	12	41%	-0.02	4	-0.10	3	33%	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	26.5	15.4	31.4	2.5	34.2	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +42.4%

SAS +6.4%

MIN -5.1%

SAS +3.9%

SAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	14.8	114.1	101.1	107.7
season	15.4	15.3		110.1	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.9	16.7	15.3	15.8	15.9
MIN	14.7	17.6	17.5	13.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	52	51	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.20	29	-15	44	14.9	17.2	-2.35	16.1	15.2	0.91
Dewayne Dedmon	46	44	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-3	20	15.5	16.3	-0.85	16.9	14.6	2.28
Kawhi Leonard	66	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.01	16	-2	18	15.9	16.0	-0.05	16.1	14.6	1.55
David Lee	23	23	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	2	10	16.1	15.9	0.28	15.5	15.8	-0.27
Kyle Anderson	44	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	7	0	14.8	16.9	-2.12	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Jonathon Simmons	37	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	11	-8	16.0	15.9	0.17	15.1	16.1	-1.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	55	56	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	6	2	16.5	15.1	1.36	16.4	14.5	1.92
Danny Green	37	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	12	-10	17.2	15.1	2.07	15.8	15.7	0.16
Davis Bertans	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	11.3	16.2	-4.91	8.8	16.1	-7.33
Bryn Forbes	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	11.3	16.2	-4.91	8.8	16.1	-7.33
Pau Gasol	48	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	15	-16	16.7	15.0	1.73	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Nicolas Laprovittola	40	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.29	-15	29	-44	17.2	14.9	2.35	15.2	16.1	-0.91

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	18	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-12	10	17.2	15.4	1.81	17.8	15.4	2.42
Ricky Rubio	61	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-9	4	14.9	17.4	-2.55	16.0	15.8	0.13
Zach LaVine	73	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-10	6	15.3	17.5	-2.16	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Cole Aldrich	25	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-7	0	17.7	15.0	2.71	16.5	15.7	0.75
Gorgui Dieng	65	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-7	0	15.0	17.7	-2.71	15.7	16.5	-0.75
Kris Dunn	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	17.4	14.9	2.55	15.8	16.0	-0.13
Shabazz Muhammad	34	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-4	-6	17.8	14.4	3.38	16.8	15.4	1.37
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-2	-10	15.4	17.2	-1.81	15.4	17.8	-2.42
Andrew Wiggins	73	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	0	-14	15.2	18.2	-3.03	15.7	16.8	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
HOU 101, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
POR 88, MIN 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0	94.2%