NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Excitement	4.7 [885]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +11.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	1.9 [429]		LVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): -8.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	23	52%	0.16	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Drew Gooden	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.05	-0.04	9	52%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	7	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	3	78%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	13	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Eric Snow	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.03
Daniel Gibson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
David Wesley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	15	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.03	0.09	12	73%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	14	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	4	58%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	10	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	33.4	14.8	29.2	2.5	28.5	137.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.0%

CLE +2.2%

CLE +3.9%

CLE +16.3%

CLE +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	14.4	15.4	111.8	100.0	104.5
season	16.0	15.7		103.2	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		103.6	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	15.4	15.2	19.4	16.7
LAC	16.5	12.8	14.8	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	53	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-2	16	16.5	16.9	-0.46	14.1	14.9	-0.78
Eric Snow	74	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-3	18	17.0	15.5	1.46	14.7	13.5	1.14
Drew Gooden	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	0	12	16.4	17.3	-0.95	15.4	12.6	2.80
Sasha Pavlovic	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	8	-4	16.2	17.4	-1.24	15.0	13.6	1.37
Damon Jones	54	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	5	2	16.8	16.5	0.35	13.7	15.4	-1.75
LeBron James	80	80	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	-2	16	16.7	16.6	0.08	14.8	11.7	3.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	58	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	10	-8	17.2	15.8	1.38	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Daniel Gibson	5	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	14	-16	14.8	16.8	-2.00	12.0	14.5	-2.55
David Wesley	12	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	14	-16	17.2	16.6	0.65	12.0	14.8	-2.84
Donyell Marshall	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	16	-20	16.7	16.7	0.00	12.1	14.8	-2.75

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Jackson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	10.0	14.6	-4.58	19.3	16.6	2.73
Daniel Ewing	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	10.0	14.6	-4.58	19.3	16.6	2.73
James Singleton	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	11.5	14.6	-3.14	18.5	16.6	1.94
Paul Davis	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-15	18	14.7	14.4	0.30	16.5	16.7	-0.20
Chris Kaman	58	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.13	-8	-4	-4	15.1	13.4	1.72	17.9	14.5	3.46
Cuttino Mobley	74	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-11	10	14.8	12.9	1.92	17.0	15.7	1.32
Shaun Livingston	62	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-5	-2	15.0	13.4	1.58	17.6	14.8	2.80
Quinton Ross	9	11	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-2	-8	11.7	14.7	-3.07	13.1	17.2	-4.08
Tim Thomas	33	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-6	0	12.8	15.4	-2.62	14.6	17.8	-3.15
Corey Maggette	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	13.8	15.9	-2.06	16.3	17.6	-1.27
Sam Cassell	60	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	5	-22	14.9	13.5	1.48	16.2	17.6	-1.38
Elton Brand	80	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.02	-19	7	-26	14.9	11.6	3.28	16.5	18.3	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
PHI 88, POR 60	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
ATL 107, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%