NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	4.5 [893]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +3.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	60		Comeback	1.9 [311]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -18.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	23	61%	0.12	3	-0.08	13	77%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.04	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.05	11	48%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	3	10%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	17	46%	-0.07	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.03	11	19%	-0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	33.3	19.5	28.4	2.6	33.2	145.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +17.4%

PHI +15.1%

POR -1.5%

PHI +18.1%

PHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	16.0	15.5	98.9	66.7	101.6
season	15.3	16.0		102.1	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.8	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	14.0	16.6	16.7	16.2
POR	13.9	18.7	15.4	16.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	45	46	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	5	18	16.3	16.1	0.18	17.3	14.6	2.62
Allen Iverson	79	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.34	32	-4	36	15.8	19.5	-3.72	16.3	13.1	3.24
Aaron McKie	61	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.49	31	-3	34	15.2	18.5	-3.30	16.8	14.4	2.37
Eric Snow	73	71	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.22	19	9	10	16.0	17.2	-1.28	16.0	16.0	-0.03
Tyrone Hill	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	24	-20	18.1	14.8	3.29	14.9	16.8	-1.86
John Salmons	15	17	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	21	-14	17.8	15.9	1.92	15.2	16.2	-0.92
Derrick Coleman	71	69	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.34	18	10	8	15.1	20.4	-5.32	16.3	14.9	1.46
Efthimios Rentzias	5	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	27	-26	22.2	15.8	6.35	12.1	16.3	-4.16
Greg Buckner	17	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	26	-24	17.7	15.8	1.86	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Keith Van Horn	40	40	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.24	3	25	-22	17.0	15.5	1.54	14.7	17.0	-2.26

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	39	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-29	30	15.1	16.6	-1.54	15.7	16.6	-0.82
Qyntel Woods	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.34	-12	-16	4	16.6	15.9	0.70	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Jeff McInnis	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.42	-16	-12	-4	17.2	15.7	1.48	14.4	16.6	-2.21
Bonzi Wells	55	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-25	22	15.7	16.3	-0.60	15.9	16.7	-0.86
Arvydas Sabonis	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-24	20	16.1	16.0	0.11	17.5	16.0	1.56
Scottie Pippen	45	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-29	30	15.1	16.8	-1.69	16.9	15.4	1.47
Antonio Daniels	31	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.22	-14	-14	0	15.7	16.1	-0.36	18.1	15.3	2.78
Derek Anderson	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-20	12	15.9	16.2	-0.31	15.5	17.3	-1.77
Damon Stoudamire	28	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-15	2	16.6	15.7	0.91	16.1	16.2	-0.12
Rasheed Wallace	68	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-12	-4	16.0	15.8	0.27	15.8	17.7	-1.88
Ruben Patterson	36	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.34	-25	-3	-22	15.9	16.0	-0.06	17.2	15.6	1.65
Zach Randolph	49	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.37	-31	3	-34	17.0	14.8	2.15	16.4	15.9	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CLE 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
UTA 105, LAC 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%