NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	4.9 [846]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +22.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	86		Comeback	2.1 [686]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -13.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.07	-0.00	21	64%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	18	65%	0.20	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	8	50%	-0.08
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	11	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	14	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	9	56%	0.03	5	-0.12	16	69%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	0.07	12	65%	0.04	6	-0.17	7	86%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	25.4	15.8	29.2	2.6	32.2	135.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.9%

LAC -3.6%

LAC -1.7%

UTA +11.0%

UTA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.4	118.0	95.6	104.5
season	15.9	15.7		107.4	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.0		103.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	15.5	13.9	21.1	16.4
LAC	14.8	17.3	16.1	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	83	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.08	24	-5	29	16.3	17.0	-0.66	16.0	13.0	3.00
Deron Williams	77	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.16	25	-6	31	16.8	13.4	3.43	16.2	13.2	2.94
Andrei Kirilenko	75	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	7	5	16.3	16.6	-0.22	15.9	15.4	0.52
Ronnie Brewer	12	12	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	10	-1	12.0	17.1	-5.06	17.4	15.6	1.87
Mehmet Okur	62	64	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	9	1	17.4	14.1	3.26	15.0	17.8	-2.77
Matt Harpring	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	14	-9	18.0	14.9	3.15	16.2	15.4	0.74
Jarron Collins	19	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	16	-13	13.0	17.3	-4.30	16.9	15.5	1.43
Derek Fisher	54	55	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	12	-5	15.1	18.3	-3.18	15.1	16.9	-1.87
Paul Millsap	16	16	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.06	6	13	-7	17.2	16.2	0.98	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Dee Brown	5	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	25	-31	18.6	16.2	2.35	13.0	16.0	-3.00

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	-16	13	15.8	15.8	-0.04	14.8	17.0	-2.22
Paul Davis	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-11	3	16.2	15.7	0.50	13.2	16.9	-3.78
Tim Thomas	77	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-13	7	15.1	19.9	-4.82	16.8	14.0	2.79
James Singleton	15	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-11	3	19.2	15.1	4.08	12.6	17.1	-4.55
Daniel Ewing	17	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-8	-3	18.7	15.1	3.58	15.1	16.7	-1.61
Quinton Ross	17	16	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-11	3	16.7	15.6	1.12	16.1	16.4	-0.31
Shaun Livingston	73	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-11	3	15.1	18.7	-3.58	16.7	15.1	1.61
Cuttino Mobley	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-3	-13	15.6	16.5	-0.85	16.8	14.7	2.08
Chris Kaman	76	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-6	-7	15.6	17.0	-1.42	17.0	13.5	3.51
Elton Brand	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	-5	-9	16.0	15.3	0.66	17.0	14.7	2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, POR 60	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
UTA 102, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 91, WAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0	94.3%