NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	5.2 [778]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +8.7%
Washington Wizards	84		Comeback	2.5 [633]		LVP	Matt Harpring (PHI): -11.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	11	68%	0.12	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	75%	0.13	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	32	48%	0.03	6	-0.12	7	71%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	13	66%	0.09	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	27	55%	0.08	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	11	42%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.3	26.7	19.6	28.0	3.4	33.6	138.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +22.1%

PHI +5.3%

PHI +14.4%

PHI +8.4%

WAS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	17.8	15.6	104.6	96.6	102.3
season	15.9	16.5		99.3	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	16.0	14.0	16.0	15.3
WAS	17.7	16.7	18.8	18.2	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	79	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-2	11	15.2	16.0	-0.81	18.0	15.5	2.51
Aaron McKie	50	51	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-2	11	14.3	16.6	-2.36	17.8	17.9	-0.18
Matt Harpring	56	55	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-8	23	16.2	13.5	2.77	18.4	16.8	1.62
Eric Snow	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-3	13	15.1	15.7	-0.60	17.1	20.6	-3.57
Dikembe Mutombo	67	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	5	-3	15.0	16.2	-1.21	17.9	17.7	0.21
Speedy Claxton	38	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	10	-13	13.9	16.3	-2.34	18.3	17.5	0.84
Samuel Dalembert	14	15	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	1	5	16.0	15.1	0.88	18.3	17.7	0.52
Derrick McKey	48	48	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	13	-19	16.6	13.6	2.94	17.7	18.1	-0.38
Corie Blount	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	17.5	14.9	2.58	18.4	17.7	0.70
Raja Bell	2	1	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	12	-17	3.5	15.5	-12.04	0.0	18.0	-18.05

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	47	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-11	15	17.4	18.3	-0.85	14.6	16.1	-1.52
Jahidi White	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	18.2	17.6	0.60	15.0	15.4	-0.47
Bobby Simmons	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-1	-5	21.9	17.5	4.37	11.8	15.5	-3.69
Tyronn Lue	60	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-11	15	17.6	18.4	-0.88	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Tyrone Nesby	42	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-8	9	17.1	18.5	-1.35	15.7	14.8	0.98
Popeye Jones	46	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	4	-15	18.5	17.1	1.45	16.2	14.3	1.86
Chris Whitney	52	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	3	-13	18.1	17.5	0.59	15.9	14.3	1.64
Hubert Davis	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	17.6	18.9	-1.24	15.2	15.3	-0.08
Michael Jordan	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	1	-9	17.8	18.3	-0.50	14.9	18.0	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, MEM 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
UTA 105, LAC 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 88, POR 60	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%