NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	4.1 [951]		MVP	Scott Burrell (CHI): +16.9%
Atlanta Hawks	74		Comeback	1.6 [673]		LVP	Steven Smith (ATL): -12.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.02	11	72%	0.17	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	26	53%	0.07	2	-0.03	12	67%	-0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	5	29%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	76%	0.10	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.08	14	39%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	3	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	12	44%	-0.01	2	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	14	34%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	25.6	16.4	23.4	2.5	25.6	120.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +19.7%

CHI +6.9%

CHI +8.8%

CHI +13.6%

CHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.6	15.6	104.7	87.1	102.5
season	16.2	16.1		105.8	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.8		101.5	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.6	18.4	17.2	18.4	17.3
ATL	14.4	15.9	18.8	17.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	81	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-1	17	17.4	16.7	0.61	17.1	4.7	12.39
Michael Jordan	77	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-3	21	17.1	19.5	-2.40	16.8	14.3	2.48
Scott Burrell	35	35	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	3	9	16.1	18.2	-2.16	18.2	15.4	2.85
Ron Harper	49	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	8	-1	17.0	17.8	-0.78	17.7	15.0	2.75
Steve Kerr	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	8	-1	17.8	16.9	0.86	14.7	18.1	-3.44
Dickey Simpkins	8	9	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	8	-1	17.4	17.3	0.05	14.0	16.9	-2.86
Bill Wennington	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	16	-17	17.6	17.2	0.47	17.3	16.1	1.16
Randy Brown	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	13	-11	18.5	17.0	1.60	17.3	16.3	1.04
Jud Buechler	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	10	-5	14.2	17.8	-3.59	9.3	17.7	-8.41
Toni Kukoc	60	61	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.15	-2	17	-19	17.8	16.1	1.77	15.9	18.3	-2.48
Joe Kleine	12	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	11	-7	19.7	16.9	2.82	16.8	16.5	0.26

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eldridge Recasner	31	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-11	7	16.5	16.6	-0.16	18.0	17.0	1.04
Chucky Brown	18	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-6	-3	18.9	15.9	3.03	18.5	17.0	1.50
Christian Laettner	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-8	1	16.0	17.5	-1.47	17.1	17.7	-0.57
Dikembe Mutombo	61	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-8	1	16.6	16.4	0.25	17.6	16.6	0.98
Tyrone Corbin	55	55	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-11	7	16.8	16.0	0.80	17.0	18.0	-1.04
Mookie Blaylock	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-6	-3	16.3	18.3	-2.07	17.3	17.6	-0.35
Alan Henderson	60	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	0	-15	16.7	16.1	0.67	17.6	16.6	1.09
Steven Smith	73	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.01	-20	5	-25	16.3	18.3	-2.07	16.8	20.8	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.5%
PHI 106, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
LAC 102, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%