NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	4.7 [887]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +13.0%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	2.0 [734]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -16.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.03	-0.06	12	62%	0.14	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	4	73%	0.11	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	-0.01	-0.07	13	65%	0.14	7	-0.09	8	62%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.05	2	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.03	10	46%	-0.04	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	10	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	60%	0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	16	50%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.05	0.04	7	70%	0.05	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	41%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	0.05	14	55%	-0.00	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.04	9	52%	-0.03	5	-0.13	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	31.5	15.8	22.3	2.7	34.2	134.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.8%

PHI +5.6%

PHI +6.9%

PHI +20.5%

WAS -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.3	15.5	110.4	100.0	106.4
season	15.5	15.9		105.3	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		111.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	14.3	13.7	15.2	14.3
WAS	19.2	17.0	13.5	12.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	88	92	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-3	14	13.8	20.1	-6.32	15.7	9.8	5.87
Andre Miller	72	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	2	4	14.3	14.4	-0.06	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Reggie Evans	53	53	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-6	20	14.4	14.2	0.18	16.2	14.3	1.87
Thaddeus Young	63	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	7	-6	14.7	13.7	0.92	14.0	18.0	-4.02
Lou Williams	45	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	-2	12	15.2	13.5	1.72	16.0	14.8	1.13
Samuel Dalembert	61	62	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	4	0	13.6	15.5	-1.90	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Willie Green	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	5	-2	14.7	14.1	0.65	16.4	14.6	1.81
Royal Ivey	37	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.24	-6	14	-20	13.2	15.0	-1.77	13.9	16.2	-2.35
Marreese Speights	20	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	16.8	13.7	3.12	17.5	14.7	2.72

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-7	6	19.0	14.9	4.11	13.7	14.4	-0.71
Javaris Crittenton	57	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-11	14	14.5	16.5	-2.05	14.4	14.2	0.16
Darius Songaila	52	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-12	16	16.1	14.5	1.68	16.0	12.6	3.32
Dominic McGuire	69	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-6	4	15.5	15.0	0.54	15.0	13.0	1.99
Andray Blatche	33	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	7	-22	16.3	14.9	1.40	13.0	15.1	-2.06
Nick Young	50	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-6	4	13.9	16.8	-2.87	13.9	14.9	-1.00
Antawn Jamison	79	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	14.7	18.0	-3.29	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Mike James	58	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	5	-18	15.9	14.5	1.39	14.4	14.2	0.27
Caron Butler	81	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	15.5	14.5	0.99	13.7	17.2	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
TOR 102, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	94.4%
NOH 99, SAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.04,0	94.3%