NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	4.6 [870]		MVP	Lloyd Daniels (TOR): +6.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	1.8 [84]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -18.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lloyd Daniels	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	70%	0.10	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
John Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	-0.01	-0.05	26	61%	0.09	7	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Reggie Slater	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	5	50%	0.05	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	46%	-0.04	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	60%	0.05	5	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	0.05	15	58%	0.00	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.02	-0.03	16	19%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	16	39%	-0.12	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.8	27.4	14.0	24.2	2.4	35.5	132.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.7%

CLE -1.6%

TOR +5.3%

CLE -1.9%

CLE -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	14.6	15.6	106.2	93.9	102.5
season	15.5	15.4		98.7	99.4
opponent	16.0	14.8		97.0	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.9	17.1	13.2	13.9	14.9
CLE	16.1	14.3	17.3	11.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	87	91	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-3	15	14.8	15.9	-1.05	14.8	12.1	2.70
Oliver Miller	59	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-9	27	14.6	15.4	-0.76	15.9	12.5	3.41
Doug Christie	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	0	9	13.8	17.9	-4.04	14.6	14.6	0.05
Marcus Camby	86	88	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	6	-3	15.0	14.6	0.38	14.1	19.0	-4.94
John Wallace	66	70	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	2	5	15.2	14.4	0.78	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Lloyd Daniels	49	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	7	-5	14.4	15.5	-1.08	12.5	16.9	-4.40
Reggie Slater	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	10	-11	15.4	14.8	0.67	15.4	14.3	1.15
Chris Garner	4	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	20.2	14.7	5.54	13.0	14.7	-1.66
Zan Tabak	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	11	-13	17.5	14.5	3.08	17.4	14.1	3.38
Tracy McGrady	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	11	-13	16.9	14.5	2.47	15.5	14.4	1.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Brooks	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-10	11	18.7	14.1	4.55	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Henry James	6	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-7	5	21.2	14.2	6.98	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Danny Ferry	29	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-7	5	14.4	14.7	-0.32	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Vitaly Potapenko	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-8	7	15.5	14.2	1.28	17.8	13.6	4.21
Brevin Knight	75	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-9	9	14.2	16.0	-1.78	15.3	13.9	1.42
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	38	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	6	-21	16.0	13.8	2.22	13.5	15.8	-2.28
Cedric Henderson	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	14.7	14.3	0.37	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Derek Anderson	79	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	13.7	18.2	-4.57	14.5	17.0	-2.54
Wesley Person	78	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	13.7	17.9	-4.13	15.2	13.9	1.31
Shawn Kemp	80	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-4	-1	14.8	13.9	0.88	15.0	14.8	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 77, NOH 62	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
BOS 116, WAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
LAC 106, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%