NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	116		Excitement	4.7 [882]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +11.6%
Washington Wizards	91		Comeback	1.9 [386]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -20.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.03	14	70%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Evan Turner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	59%	0.06	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Avery Bradley	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	83%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	5	71%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Eddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.04
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.05	0.01	11	31%	-0.09	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	27.5	15.7	27.2	2.3	29.5	129.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +22.7%

BOS +11.6%

WAS -5.0%

BOS +20.6%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	12.7	14.9	111.5	86.7	105.1
season	13.9	13.8		104.5	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.0		104.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	15.2	15.5	14.6	14.9
WAS	12.5	12.0	13.3	13.1	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	62	62	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	6	13	14.9	14.9	0.01	12.4	13.2	-0.78
Amir Johnson	50	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	11	3	15.2	14.6	0.64	12.6	12.8	-0.24
Kelly Olynyk	47	48	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.32	22	3	19	15.3	14.5	0.75	13.0	12.4	0.58
Evan Turner	64	64	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.30	20	5	15	14.7	15.1	-0.46	13.0	12.2	0.84
Marcus Smart	71	70	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.30	20	5	15	14.4	15.9	-1.53	13.0	12.2	0.76
Jared Sullinger	33	35	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	20	-15	15.9	14.4	1.53	12.2	13.0	-0.76
Jae Crowder	60	62	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.18	13	12	1	15.4	14.2	1.22	12.7	12.7	0.01
Avery Bradley	55	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	25	-25	15.6	14.1	1.48	12.8	12.5	0.30
Jonas Jerebko	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	21	-17	13.1	15.3	-2.19	12.5	12.7	-0.20
Terry Rozier	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	11.7	15.2	-3.50	12.0	12.8	-0.77
James Young	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	11.6	15.1	-3.53	12.2	12.7	-0.57
Tyler Zeller	39	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.23	7	18	-11	14.8	14.9	-0.07	12.6	12.8	-0.21

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	12.4	12.7	-0.38	12.0	15.2	-3.20
Drew Gooden	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	12.4	12.7	-0.38	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Jarell Eddie	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	12.4	12.7	-0.38	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Kelly Oubre	21	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-22	19	12.1	12.9	-0.76	12.7	15.4	-2.62
Nene	53	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-29	33	13.5	11.9	1.62	15.3	14.5	0.80
Bradley Beal	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-23	21	12.2	12.8	-0.56	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Ramon Sessions	53	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.27	-15	-10	-5	12.6	12.8	-0.13	14.5	15.2	-0.78
Garrett Temple	50	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-18	11	12.6	12.8	-0.20	15.4	14.4	1.00
John Wall	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-9	-7	12.8	12.6	0.20	15.3	14.0	1.29
Otto Porter	65	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	-8	-9	12.8	12.6	0.17	15.4	14.1	1.21
Gary Neal	25	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-13	1	13.7	12.4	1.33	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Jared Dudley	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.25	-24	-1	-23	12.4	13.3	-0.83	14.9	14.9	0.02
Marcin Gortat	65	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.18	-24	-1	-23	12.5	13.1	-0.64	15.1	14.5	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	94.8%
NOK 96, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
LAL 95, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%